Race 12A

hws-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Christopher Price 7.8% 5.6% 6.2% 7.6% 7.7% 7.5% 7.0% 6.2% 7.9% 6.4% 6.9% 7.1% 6.8% 5.7% 3.6%
Connor Godfrey 6.2% 8.8% 9.4% 7.2% 7.7% 8.2% 7.7% 7.4% 6.5% 6.8% 7.0% 5.9% 4.7% 4.4% 2.1%
Dillon Paiva 17.7% 16.2% 13.2% 11.8% 10.1% 7.6% 8.2% 5.1% 3.5% 3.4% 1.7% 1.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Taylor Vann 10.0% 9.2% 10.5% 8.8% 8.9% 7.7% 7.2% 7.3% 7.3% 5.9% 5.3% 5.7% 3.3% 2.3% 0.6%
Connor Trepton 6.8% 7.2% 6.3% 6.3% 7.2% 7.7% 7.1% 5.4% 8.6% 9.2% 7.0% 6.7% 5.9% 6.0% 2.6%
Alden Sonnenfeldt 3.5% 4.1% 4.0% 4.6% 4.3% 3.3% 5.6% 6.5% 7.1% 7.7% 7.9% 9.2% 11.4% 12.5% 8.3%
Bryan White 6.4% 4.0% 5.5% 4.9% 6.9% 6.8% 6.1% 7.3% 7.1% 8.3% 7.4% 7.9% 8.1% 8.0% 5.3%
Eddie Cox 7.9% 8.5% 8.5% 7.5% 8.0% 8.1% 7.9% 7.9% 7.0% 6.8% 7.1% 5.3% 4.4% 3.4% 1.7%
Tyler Steel 6.0% 7.1% 8.0% 7.2% 7.1% 8.3% 8.1% 9.1% 6.0% 6.3% 7.4% 7.4% 6.4% 4.1% 1.5%
Ryan Seago 6.5% 5.6% 5.6% 9.2% 7.1% 7.3% 6.7% 7.8% 8.4% 6.8% 7.3% 7.5% 5.5% 6.3% 2.4%
Mary Margaret Meehan 1.2% 1.4% 1.4% 1.2% 1.0% 1.9% 2.5% 2.0% 2.4% 3.3% 3.9% 5.5% 7.6% 12.3% 52.4%
John Ortel 3.9% 3.1% 4.9% 4.6% 6.1% 5.6% 6.5% 6.5% 7.3% 6.8% 8.0% 7.8% 11.3% 11.3% 6.3%
Andrew Tamblyn 6.5% 7.9% 6.2% 7.2% 7.9% 6.3% 7.2% 8.6% 7.7% 8.1% 7.9% 6.3% 6.4% 3.2% 2.6%
Samuel Bedinger 3.5% 4.1% 4.2% 4.8% 4.3% 5.5% 6.3% 5.6% 5.9% 7.2% 7.5% 8.5% 10.1% 14.7% 7.8%
Andrew Bates 6.1% 7.2% 6.1% 7.1% 5.7% 8.2% 5.9% 7.3% 7.3% 7.0% 7.7% 8.0% 7.9% 5.7% 2.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.