← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University1.92+4.85vs Predicted
-
2Harvard University1.79+4.78vs Predicted
-
3Salve Regina University0.97+8.08vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77+1.66vs Predicted
-
5Yale University1.86+1.77vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+1.99vs Predicted
-
7Bowdoin College1.84-0.45vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University0.49+2.87vs Predicted
-
9Boston College1.58-1.89vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.16-0.92vs Predicted
-
11Boston University0.37-0.21vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island0.99-3.19vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College0.19-0.57vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont-0.13-1.92vs Predicted
-
15Northeastern University1.22-7.08vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College1.87-9.77vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.85Brown University1.9212.1%1st Place
-
6.78Harvard University1.798.8%1st Place
-
11.08Salve Regina University0.972.9%1st Place
-
5.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7711.4%1st Place
-
6.77Yale University1.868.1%1st Place
-
7.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.8%1st Place
-
6.55Bowdoin College1.849.0%1st Place
-
10.87Roger Williams University0.492.1%1st Place
-
7.11Boston College1.588.8%1st Place
-
9.08Tufts University1.164.6%1st Place
-
10.79Boston University0.373.0%1st Place
-
8.81University of Rhode Island0.994.8%1st Place
-
12.43Connecticut College0.191.7%1st Place
-
12.08University of Vermont-0.131.7%1st Place
-
7.92Northeastern University1.225.1%1st Place
-
6.23Dartmouth College1.8710.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Caroline Bayless | 12.1% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
Marbella Marlo | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
Olivia Lowthian | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 13.0% | 14.7% |
Brooke Schmelz | 11.4% | 12.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Megan Grimes | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
Emma Snead | 5.8% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
Lauren Russler | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
Katherine McGagh | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 11.4% |
Libby Redmond | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
Annika Fedde | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.5% |
Lucy Paskoff | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 13.6% | 10.9% |
Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 2.8% |
Miya Preyer | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 16.6% | 27.2% |
Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 23.2% |
Eva Ermlich | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.6% |
Gray Hemans | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.