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📊 Prediction Accuracy
54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.51+2.72vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.78+3.32vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.50+3.09vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.61-0.46vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+0.93vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College3.83-0.81vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-1.92vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.76-2.78vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin2.61-1.09vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.80-2.63vs Predicted
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11Northwestern University0.29-0.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.72Georgetown University4.510.2%1st Place
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5.32College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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6.09U. S. Naval Academy3.500.1%1st Place
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3.54College of Charleston4.610.2%1st Place
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5.93Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.19Eckerd College3.830.1%1st Place
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5.08St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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5.22Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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7.91University of Wisconsin2.610.0%1st Place
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7.37University of South Florida2.800.0%1st Place
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10.61Northwestern University0.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sydney Bolger | 17.5% | 18.5% | 15.4% | 13.9% | 13.4% | 9.6% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Shannon Heausler | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 4.7% | 0.3% |
| Christina Pryne | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 0.6% |
| Allison Blecher | 20.8% | 18.4% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Claire Dennis | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 13.0% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 0.7% |
| Cara Vavolotis | 9.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 0.2% |
| Megan Magill | 11.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 9.7% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 3.5% | 0.6% |
| Stephanie Roble | 9.8% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 4.8% | 0.4% |
| Christine Porter | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 11.1% | 18.0% | 30.0% | 7.8% |
| Rachael Silverstein | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 12.3% | 17.2% | 25.3% | 3.5% |
| Sarah Hughes | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 6.1% | 85.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.