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📊 Prediction Accuracy
85.7%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Syracuse University0.19+2.40vs Predicted
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2Queen's University1.16+0.23vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.62+0.01vs Predicted
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4Penn State Behrend0.41-0.63vs Predicted
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5Mercyhurst University-0.76-0.06vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-0.70-1.06vs Predicted
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7Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.83-0.90vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.4Syracuse University0.1917.1%1st Place
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2.23Queen's University1.1635.4%1st Place
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3.01Rochester Institute of Technology0.6220.6%1st Place
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3.37Penn State Behrend0.4115.1%1st Place
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4.94Mercyhurst University-0.764.9%1st Place
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4.94Penn State University-0.705.3%1st Place
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6.1Indiana University of Pennsylvania-1.831.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexa Whitman | 17.1% | 14.8% | 19.6% | 20.3% | 17.6% | 8.5% | 2.1% |
| James Fair | 35.4% | 29.9% | 18.0% | 11.3% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 20.6% | 20.3% | 22.2% | 18.4% | 12.3% | 5.2% | 0.9% |
| Anthony Farrar | 15.1% | 18.8% | 19.6% | 20.3% | 14.2% | 10.1% | 1.8% |
| Jacob Fritts | 4.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 20.5% | 29.9% | 16.7% |
| Joseph Simpkins | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 20.8% | 29.5% | 17.3% |
| Serena Aumick | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 10.3% | 15.8% | 61.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.