Race 6A

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Caroline Patten 26.3% 21.4% 18.8% 15.7% 9.4% 5.7% 2.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Harry Scott 23.2% 23.5% 17.7% 15.8% 11.1% 5.9% 2.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Evan Siepert 14.6% 14.7% 17.3% 16.8% 15.4% 12.8% 6.9% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Billy Hluchan 6.8% 7.7% 10.3% 12.4% 16.1% 20.7% 19.8% 5.3% 0.9% 0.0%
James Allsopp 11.5% 15.5% 15.4% 13.5% 16.7% 16.0% 8.6% 2.5% 0.3% 0.0%
Graham Gardner 12.9% 12.1% 14.1% 17.6% 17.3% 14.4% 9.6% 2.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Bergan 3.2% 3.5% 3.9% 6.0% 8.9% 17.1% 35.0% 18.2% 4.2% 0.0%
Elizabeth Siegal 1.1% 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 3.2% 4.9% 9.1% 42.5% 35.7% 0.0%
Brian Street 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 1.9% 2.5% 6.3% 27.3% 58.8% 0.0%
Brian Street 0.4% 0.9% 1.1% 0.8% 1.9% 2.5% 6.3% 27.3% 58.8% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.