Race 12B

neisa-open-fr-champs-coast-guard-alumni-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Jack Redmond 11.8% 10.9% 11.7% 9.8% 9.4% 9.0% 8.0% 7.0% 5.1% 4.9% 4.9% 2.7% 2.5% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2%
Mitchell Callahan 15.6% 14.9% 12.1% 10.7% 10.9% 8.6% 6.3% 6.2% 4.9% 3.9% 2.6% 1.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
Oliver Stokke 10.2% 10.3% 10.2% 9.6% 8.9% 8.3% 7.9% 8.5% 6.0% 5.6% 4.2% 3.9% 3.0% 1.5% 1.6% 0.4%
Mathias Reimer 7.2% 6.9% 7.1% 6.7% 6.6% 8.0% 6.9% 7.3% 6.7% 7.6% 7.1% 6.5% 6.4% 4.2% 2.9% 1.9%
Christopher Chwalk 4.4% 5.2% 5.6% 5.9% 6.2% 6.6% 7.4% 5.9% 7.0% 7.5% 7.6% 6.6% 6.5% 7.0% 7.1% 3.3%
Mason Stang 7.4% 7.3% 6.3% 8.0% 7.8% 7.1% 8.5% 7.1% 7.8% 6.9% 6.4% 6.9% 4.6% 4.5% 2.1% 1.3%
Ben Sheppard 4.4% 4.2% 4.3% 3.7% 4.6% 5.2% 4.9% 5.9% 6.0% 5.5% 7.7% 8.3% 9.5% 8.6% 9.9% 7.3%
William Kulas 7.6% 6.0% 7.5% 7.7% 7.6% 7.0% 6.8% 7.2% 7.8% 7.8% 6.6% 5.5% 5.6% 4.1% 3.9% 1.3%
Joshua Dillon 3.9% 4.5% 4.5% 4.9% 4.8% 5.9% 5.3% 6.2% 6.2% 6.0% 6.2% 7.9% 8.6% 8.5% 9.3% 7.5%
Oliver Keeves 4.2% 4.2% 4.1% 5.1% 5.4% 4.9% 5.1% 5.3% 5.5% 6.3% 7.3% 7.3% 8.3% 9.0% 8.8% 9.0%
Bradley Whiteway 4.0% 4.4% 4.0% 4.7% 5.9% 5.5% 6.3% 5.8% 6.3% 6.3% 7.0% 8.5% 8.0% 7.9% 8.1% 7.2%
Peter Stewart 2.4% 2.5% 2.2% 2.7% 2.9% 3.2% 3.2% 4.0% 4.0% 6.0% 5.3% 6.4% 8.6% 10.8% 12.6% 23.1%
Thibault Antonietti 6.0% 7.0% 8.6% 7.2% 6.9% 6.6% 8.6% 7.0% 8.6% 8.1% 6.3% 6.5% 4.8% 3.4% 3.1% 1.5%
Henry Scholz 4.0% 4.5% 4.5% 4.6% 4.8% 5.0% 5.7% 5.8% 6.7% 6.6% 7.0% 8.3% 8.3% 8.7% 8.6% 7.1%
Emil Tullberg 2.9% 2.6% 2.1% 3.5% 2.8% 3.2% 4.0% 5.3% 4.4% 4.5% 6.0% 6.5% 6.6% 10.8% 12.7% 22.3%
Calvin Lamosse 4.0% 4.7% 5.1% 5.1% 4.5% 5.9% 5.3% 5.8% 7.0% 6.3% 7.5% 7.0% 7.6% 9.1% 8.5% 6.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.