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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University1.86+5.61vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College1.84+4.59vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.60+4.97vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.79+2.73vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island0.99+3.83vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.92-0.10vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.58+0.19vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University0.49+2.82vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University0.97+1.98vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.16-0.82vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.19+1.20vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.77-6.24vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.22-5.15vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont-0.13-1.82vs Predicted
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15Boston University0.37-3.96vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College1.87-9.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61Yale University1.869.2%1st Place
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6.59Bowdoin College1.848.9%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.605.1%1st Place
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6.73Harvard University1.799.3%1st Place
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8.83University of Rhode Island0.994.5%1st Place
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5.9Brown University1.9211.5%1st Place
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7.19Boston College1.587.2%1st Place
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10.82Roger Williams University0.493.3%1st Place
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10.98Salve Regina University0.972.8%1st Place
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9.18Tufts University1.164.2%1st Place
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12.2Connecticut College0.191.8%1st Place
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5.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.7711.0%1st Place
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7.85Northeastern University1.226.3%1st Place
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12.18University of Vermont-0.131.7%1st Place
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11.04Boston University0.372.3%1st Place
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6.17Dartmouth College1.8711.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Megan Grimes | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Lauren Russler | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
Emma Snead | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
Marbella Marlo | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
Caroline Bayless | 11.5% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Libby Redmond | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
Katherine McGagh | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 12.0% |
Olivia Lowthian | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 13.3% |
Annika Fedde | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 3.6% |
Miya Preyer | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 16.4% | 24.6% |
Brooke Schmelz | 11.0% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Eva Ermlich | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
Elizabeth Amelotte | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 15.5% | 25.9% |
Lucy Paskoff | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 13.6% | 12.2% |
Gray Hemans | 11.1% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.