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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Wisconsin2.72+5.95vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.64vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.98+3.10vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.15+1.65vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.02+4.41vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.63+1.32vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.65+3.49vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.44-3.16vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.77-2.24vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan1.85+0.07vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.76-0.74vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.11-2.62vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.92-6.40vs Predicted
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14Fordham University2.04-4.68vs Predicted
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15Columbia University1.02-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95University of Wisconsin2.720.1%1st Place
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4.64U. S. Naval Academy3.440.2%1st Place
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6.1Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
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5.65University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
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9.41Stanford University2.020.0%1st Place
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7.32SUNY Maritime College2.630.1%1st Place
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10.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.650.0%1st Place
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4.84Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
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6.76Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.07University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
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10.26Washington College1.760.0%1st Place
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9.38Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
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6.6Old Dominion University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.32Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
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12.2Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Boylan | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Michael Popp | 15.3% | 15.5% | 14.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Stewart Draheim | 9.5% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 10.7% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Max Kohrman | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.3% |
| Julia Paxton | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Francois Conde-Jahn | 3.8% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 14.9% | 14.4% |
| Colin MURPHY | 14.3% | 14.1% | 14.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Duncan Howes | 6.3% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 14.4% | 9.6% |
| Thomas Heist | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 12.5% | 14.0% | 12.7% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 6.3% |
| Zach Runci | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Alex Reynolds | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 6.2% |
| John Koehler | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 11.1% | 13.4% | 39.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.