Race 1A

polar-bear-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Wilson Kaznoski 14.8% 15.7% 15.5% 16.4% 16.7% 13.0% 6.3% 1.5% 0.2%
Benjamin Stevens 19.5% 16.9% 18.6% 16.8% 12.8% 10.1% 4.0% 1.2% 0.1%
Grace Cannon 13.9% 14.3% 15.3% 17.8% 17.1% 11.8% 6.8% 2.5% 0.4%
Jonathan Chance 19.5% 20.2% 16.8% 15.7% 13.7% 8.8% 4.3% 0.8% 0.3%
Nathan Selian 21.6% 20.2% 18.8% 16.1% 13.0% 7.0% 2.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Kate Myler 1.8% 2.4% 2.9% 3.7% 5.1% 9.8% 18.1% 26.4% 29.8%
Colby Green 4.7% 5.1% 5.9% 7.0% 10.2% 19.1% 23.0% 18.3% 6.8%
Sonja Krajewski 2.5% 3.1% 3.5% 4.0% 7.3% 12.8% 21.9% 24.8% 20.1%
Robin Potter 1.8% 2.1% 2.8% 2.5% 4.2% 7.7% 12.8% 24.0% 42.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.