Race 2A

polar-bear-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Wilson Kaznoski 14.5% 17.6% 17.9% 15.2% 15.8% 12.0% 4.9% 1.8% 0.2%
Nathan Selian 22.6% 20.9% 17.3% 15.4% 12.5% 7.5% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Jonathan Chance 20.2% 18.9% 16.8% 16.2% 14.5% 8.0% 4.4% 1.1% 0.1%
Benjamin Stevens 18.1% 17.0% 17.3% 17.7% 14.0% 10.2% 4.5% 1.1% 0.2%
Colby Green 4.5% 5.1% 5.3% 8.0% 10.0% 18.9% 22.1% 17.9% 8.2%
Kate Myler 1.9% 2.1% 2.5% 3.3% 4.5% 10.7% 19.1% 26.1% 29.7%
Grace Cannon 14.1% 14.1% 16.9% 16.6% 16.9% 12.1% 6.8% 2.1% 0.5%
Sonja Krajewski 2.5% 2.4% 3.6% 5.1% 7.2% 12.6% 21.4% 25.6% 19.6%
Robin Potter 1.6% 2.0% 2.3% 2.5% 4.6% 8.1% 13.9% 23.9% 41.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.