Race 3A

polar-bear-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Jonathan Chance 19.8% 17.5% 15.8% 17.0% 15.0% 9.4% 4.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Grace Cannon 14.0% 15.2% 15.1% 15.8% 16.4% 12.2% 8.2% 2.8% 0.4%
Wilson Kaznoski 15.4% 16.6% 17.2% 15.0% 15.6% 11.2% 6.7% 2.1% 0.2%
Kate Myler 1.8% 1.8% 3.5% 4.0% 4.6% 10.5% 17.9% 28.0% 27.9%
Benjamin Stevens 18.4% 18.9% 18.5% 16.2% 13.8% 8.9% 3.9% 1.3% 0.2%
Nathan Selian 22.1% 20.2% 17.6% 16.1% 12.3% 7.4% 3.5% 0.8% 0.1%
Colby Green 4.5% 5.2% 6.9% 7.6% 9.5% 18.8% 21.9% 17.3% 8.2%
Sonja Krajewski 2.5% 3.2% 3.2% 5.5% 8.6% 14.2% 19.4% 24.1% 19.3%
Robin Potter 1.5% 1.5% 2.2% 2.8% 4.3% 7.2% 14.0% 22.9% 43.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.