Race 4A

polar-bear-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nathan Selian 21.8% 20.6% 19.5% 14.7% 12.2% 8.2% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Wilson Kaznoski 15.8% 15.4% 17.4% 16.4% 15.6% 11.9% 5.0% 2.2% 0.2%
Benjamin Stevens 18.7% 18.1% 17.7% 15.9% 14.8% 9.2% 4.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Grace Cannon 14.4% 14.0% 14.8% 17.0% 16.8% 13.2% 7.1% 2.1% 0.6%
Kate Myler 2.2% 2.5% 2.9% 3.2% 5.1% 9.8% 18.4% 26.9% 29.0%
Jonathan Chance 17.8% 19.3% 16.8% 18.1% 14.1% 8.8% 4.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Colby Green 5.2% 5.5% 5.1% 6.8% 10.8% 18.3% 22.2% 17.1% 9.0%
Sonja Krajewski 2.8% 2.9% 3.5% 5.2% 6.7% 13.2% 21.9% 25.1% 18.9%
Robin Potter 1.1% 1.8% 2.5% 2.7% 3.9% 7.5% 13.9% 24.6% 42.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.