← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Roger Williams University2.98+5.15vs Predicted
-
2SUNY Maritime College2.63+5.16vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University2.92+3.26vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy3.44+0.74vs Predicted
-
5University of Wisconsin2.72+2.11vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.65+4.62vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University2.02+2.32vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University2.11+1.14vs Predicted
-
9University of South Florida3.15-3.43vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College3.44-5.15vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University2.04-1.59vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University2.77-4.89vs Predicted
-
13Washington College1.76-2.56vs Predicted
-
14University of Michigan1.85-4.10vs Predicted
-
15Columbia University1.02-2.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.15Roger Williams University2.980.1%1st Place
-
7.16SUNY Maritime College2.630.1%1st Place
-
6.26Old Dominion University2.920.1%1st Place
-
4.74U. S. Naval Academy3.440.2%1st Place
-
7.11University of Wisconsin2.720.1%1st Place
-
10.62U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.650.0%1st Place
-
9.32Stanford University2.020.0%1st Place
-
9.14Roger Williams University2.110.0%1st Place
-
5.57University of South Florida3.150.1%1st Place
-
4.85Dartmouth College3.440.1%1st Place
-
9.41Fordham University2.040.0%1st Place
-
7.11Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
-
10.44Washington College1.760.0%1st Place
-
9.9University of Michigan1.850.0%1st Place
-
12.22Columbia University1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stewart Draheim | 9.8% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Julia Paxton | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Zach Runci | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Michael Popp | 15.9% | 15.2% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Boylan | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Francois Conde-Jahn | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 11.1% | 13.6% | 14.1% | 14.2% |
| Max Kohrman | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 6.7% |
| Ian Hollerbach | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 5.4% |
| Benjamin Mohney | 10.3% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Colin MURPHY | 13.6% | 12.9% | 13.2% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Reynolds | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% |
| Duncan Howes | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Heist | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 13.5% |
| Thomas Etheridge | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 13.3% | 9.2% |
| John Koehler | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 15.9% | 38.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.