Race 5A

polar-bear-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Benjamin Stevens 17.2% 17.2% 18.2% 17.1% 15.2% 9.5% 4.2% 1.4% 0.1%
Nathan Selian 22.8% 21.3% 18.2% 14.1% 13.5% 6.0% 3.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Grace Cannon 14.6% 15.5% 16.2% 15.8% 16.4% 12.8% 6.0% 2.3% 0.3%
Colby Green 4.7% 5.0% 6.9% 7.4% 9.2% 20.2% 22.7% 15.8% 8.2%
Jonathan Chance 18.1% 18.6% 16.2% 18.3% 14.5% 9.1% 4.1% 1.1% 0.1%
Robin Potter 1.6% 1.5% 2.1% 2.8% 3.2% 7.6% 14.3% 23.1% 43.9%
Wilson Kaznoski 16.1% 15.5% 16.0% 16.1% 16.1% 11.7% 6.2% 2.0% 0.4%
Kate Myler 2.2% 2.5% 2.5% 3.9% 5.7% 8.9% 18.1% 26.9% 29.3%
Sonja Krajewski 2.8% 2.9% 3.6% 4.6% 6.3% 14.2% 20.8% 27.1% 17.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.