Race 6A

polar-bear-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Nathan Selian 22.6% 20.8% 17.1% 16.0% 12.8% 7.0% 3.1% 0.4% 0.2%
Grace Cannon 15.0% 15.5% 14.3% 15.7% 16.3% 13.1% 7.5% 2.3% 0.3%
Wilson Kaznoski 15.3% 14.4% 16.2% 16.8% 17.3% 12.4% 5.8% 1.6% 0.1%
Jonathan Chance 19.6% 19.1% 19.3% 15.8% 13.1% 9.2% 3.2% 0.7% 0.1%
Benjamin Stevens 18.0% 18.0% 18.4% 17.4% 13.5% 9.0% 4.1% 1.4% 0.2%
Colby Green 4.0% 4.2% 5.9% 7.4% 10.7% 18.9% 23.8% 17.3% 7.8%
Kate Myler 1.9% 2.8% 2.7% 3.3% 5.7% 10.2% 17.3% 27.5% 28.6%
Sonja Krajewski 2.1% 3.1% 3.2% 4.8% 6.8% 13.6% 20.3% 26.5% 19.6%
Robin Potter 1.5% 2.1% 2.9% 2.9% 4.0% 6.7% 14.7% 22.4% 43.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.