← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston University1.01+2.09vs Predicted
-
2University of New Hampshire0.68+1.80vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College0.05+0.46vs Predicted
-
4Bowdoin College1.08-0.60vs Predicted
-
5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+2.16vs Predicted
-
6Fairfield University0.73-2.28vs Predicted
-
7Bates College-0.70-1.05vs Predicted
-
8Middlebury College-1.68-0.43vs Predicted
-
9University of New Hampshire-1.09-2.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.09Boston University1.0123.7%1st Place
-
3.8University of New Hampshire0.6815.2%1st Place
-
3.46Bowdoin College0.0517.4%1st Place
-
3.4Bowdoin College1.0819.4%1st Place
-
7.16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.771.9%1st Place
-
3.72Fairfield University0.7314.7%1st Place
-
5.95Bates College-0.703.7%1st Place
-
7.57Middlebury College-1.681.4%1st Place
-
6.84University of New Hampshire-1.092.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Selian | 23.7% | 20.7% | 18.4% | 14.1% | 12.3% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Grace Cannon | 15.2% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 17.1% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 6.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 17.4% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 16.8% | 15.2% | 10.1% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Jonathan Chance | 19.4% | 16.6% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Kate Myler | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 9.4% | 17.8% | 25.7% | 30.2% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 14.7% | 16.4% | 16.5% | 16.3% | 16.8% | 11.4% | 5.9% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Colby Green | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 20.8% | 22.0% | 16.8% | 7.7% |
| Robin Potter | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 7.5% | 14.0% | 24.7% | 41.5% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 13.3% | 22.9% | 25.1% | 19.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.