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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University1.01+2.12vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.73+1.72vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.08+0.35vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire0.68-0.18vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+2.20vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.05-2.60vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.70-1.03vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.09-1.21vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.68-1.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.12Boston University1.0122.3%1st Place
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3.72Fairfield University0.7316.2%1st Place
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3.35Bowdoin College1.0819.8%1st Place
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3.82University of New Hampshire0.6813.2%1st Place
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7.2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.772.0%1st Place
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3.4Bowdoin College0.0518.7%1st Place
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5.97Bates College-0.704.7%1st Place
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6.79University of New Hampshire-1.091.9%1st Place
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7.63Middlebury College-1.681.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Selian | 22.3% | 21.4% | 17.3% | 15.8% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 16.2% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 16.8% | 12.0% | 6.0% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Jonathan Chance | 19.8% | 18.1% | 17.5% | 16.7% | 13.9% | 8.9% | 4.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Grace Cannon | 13.2% | 15.8% | 16.3% | 17.1% | 16.6% | 12.8% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.2% |
| Kate Myler | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 10.0% | 17.6% | 28.1% | 28.7% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 18.7% | 17.4% | 19.5% | 15.7% | 14.1% | 9.2% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Colby Green | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 18.8% | 23.6% | 17.1% | 7.7% |
| Sonja Krajewski | 1.9% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 22.1% | 25.9% | 18.9% |
| Robin Potter | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.3% | 8.1% | 13.9% | 22.4% | 44.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.