Race 9A

polar-bear-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Grace Cannon 14.8% 14.6% 13.9% 15.6% 15.1% 13.0% 8.2% 3.7% 1.1% 0.1%
Nathan Selian 20.9% 18.1% 18.1% 14.8% 12.2% 9.8% 3.8% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1%
Wilson Kaznoski 15.7% 16.7% 14.9% 15.0% 16.2% 10.0% 7.0% 2.8% 1.5% 0.3%
Jonathan Chance 18.0% 18.3% 17.0% 15.6% 14.3% 9.6% 5.1% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
Benjamin Stevens 18.1% 17.8% 16.8% 16.4% 12.8% 10.1% 5.4% 2.1% 0.7% 0.0%
James Knowlton 2.5% 3.5% 4.0% 5.0% 7.2% 11.8% 15.6% 18.5% 20.1% 12.0%
Colby Green 4.7% 4.1% 6.2% 6.8% 8.6% 13.8% 19.4% 18.4% 11.7% 6.2%
Kate Myler 1.5% 1.8% 2.8% 3.9% 4.6% 6.1% 13.4% 17.9% 23.0% 25.2%
Sonja Krajewski 2.6% 3.5% 4.2% 4.0% 5.3% 9.9% 13.1% 19.2% 20.5% 17.6%
Robin Potter 1.4% 1.6% 2.1% 2.9% 3.6% 6.0% 9.2% 14.1% 20.8% 38.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.