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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Harry Scott 26.8% 22.3% 17.5% 15.5% 9.7% 6.1% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Patten 23.7% 23.2% 18.2% 15.3% 10.9% 5.9% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Graham Gardner 11.0% 14.5% 13.7% 15.3% 17.7% 15.5% 9.7% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0%
James Allsopp 12.3% 13.0% 15.6% 15.1% 16.5% 14.7% 10.6% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Bergan 3.2% 3.8% 6.2% 8.1% 10.8% 13.4% 30.8% 19.2% 4.5% 0.0%
Billy Hluchan 7.2% 7.1% 8.8% 12.3% 14.8% 22.3% 21.3% 5.3% 0.9% 0.0%
Evan Siepert 14.6% 13.9% 17.6% 16.0% 16.7% 14.1% 5.8% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Street 0.5% 0.8% 1.2% 0.8% 1.3% 2.8% 7.8% 25.1% 59.7% 0.0%
Elizabeth Siegal 0.7% 1.4% 1.2% 1.6% 1.6% 5.2% 9.8% 43.8% 34.7% 0.0%
Brian Street 0.5% 0.8% 1.2% 0.8% 1.3% 2.8% 7.8% 25.1% 59.7% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.