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📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College3.60+1.86vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60+0.96vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.82+1.12vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.79+0.08vs Predicted
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5Drexel University1.52+1.06vs Predicted
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7American University2.24-1.96vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.02-4.22vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester-0.36-0.75vs Predicted
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10Columbia University0.11-2.16vs Predicted
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12University of Rochester-0.36-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.86SUNY Maritime College3.600.3%1st Place
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2.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.2%1st Place
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4.12Fordham University2.820.1%1st Place
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4.08U. S. Naval Academy2.790.1%1st Place
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6.06Drexel University1.520.0%1st Place
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5.04American University2.240.1%1st Place
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3.78U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.020.1%1st Place
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8.25University of Rochester-0.360.0%1st Place
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7.84Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
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8.25University of Rochester-0.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Harry Scott | 26.8% | 22.3% | 17.5% | 15.5% | 9.7% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Patten | 23.7% | 23.2% | 18.2% | 15.3% | 10.9% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Graham Gardner | 11.0% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 9.7% | 2.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Allsopp | 12.3% | 13.0% | 15.6% | 15.1% | 16.5% | 14.7% | 10.6% | 2.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Bergan | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 13.4% | 30.8% | 19.2% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Billy Hluchan | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 22.3% | 21.3% | 5.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Evan Siepert | 14.6% | 13.9% | 17.6% | 16.0% | 16.7% | 14.1% | 5.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brian Street | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 7.8% | 25.1% | 59.7% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 5.2% | 9.8% | 43.8% | 34.7% | 0.0% |
| Brian Street | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 7.8% | 25.1% | 59.7% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.