Race 10A

polar-bear-invite

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Grace Cannon 15.0% 14.1% 15.6% 16.4% 16.4% 12.3% 7.0% 2.7% 0.5%
Wilson Kaznoski 15.0% 16.7% 17.2% 15.6% 14.4% 12.3% 6.2% 2.1% 0.4%
Benjamin Stevens 18.7% 18.4% 17.2% 17.1% 14.2% 8.7% 4.0% 1.6% 0.1%
Jonathan Chance 18.9% 18.4% 16.7% 15.4% 15.5% 9.7% 4.2% 1.1% 0.2%
Nathan Selian 22.6% 19.9% 18.9% 16.2% 11.5% 8.0% 2.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Colby Green 4.2% 5.0% 5.9% 7.6% 11.2% 18.1% 22.3% 17.5% 8.2%
Sonja Krajewski 2.1% 2.9% 3.2% 5.8% 7.0% 12.8% 22.4% 25.6% 18.2%
Robin Potter 1.2% 1.8% 1.8% 2.9% 3.8% 8.1% 14.4% 22.0% 43.9%
Kate Myler 2.2% 2.9% 3.4% 3.1% 5.9% 10.0% 17.2% 26.9% 28.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.