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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University-1.68+5.41vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.00+2.29vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.52-0.34vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.50-1.14vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.43-2.15vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42+0.12vs Predicted
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7University of New Hampshire-1.54-0.74vs Predicted
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8Bates College-2.52-0.42vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.46-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Fairfield University-1.682.9%1st Place
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4.29University of New Hampshire-0.009.8%1st Place
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2.66Bowdoin College0.5227.4%1st Place
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2.86Bowdoin College0.5023.4%1st Place
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2.85Boston University0.4324.9%1st Place
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6.12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.423.6%1st Place
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6.26University of New Hampshire-1.543.0%1st Place
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7.58Bates College-2.521.4%1st Place
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5.96Middlebury College-1.463.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 11.7% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 22.1% | 16.1% |
| James Sullivan | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 17.8% | 19.4% | 14.2% | 9.7% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Kique Ruiz | 27.4% | 25.6% | 20.1% | 14.2% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Kitay | 23.4% | 22.9% | 22.0% | 16.2% | 9.3% | 4.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Cabell | 24.9% | 21.3% | 22.1% | 16.4% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andy Giaya | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 8.8% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 19.1% | 17.8% | 11.8% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 19.8% | 13.2% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 47.9% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 13.4% | 17.1% | 17.5% | 17.9% | 10.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.