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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.50+1.83vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.43+0.85vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.00+1.33vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-1.68+2.38vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.52-2.32vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.46+0.01vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-0.86vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.54-1.80vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.52-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.83Bowdoin College0.5024.6%1st Place
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2.85Boston University0.4324.6%1st Place
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4.33University of New Hampshire-0.009.8%1st Place
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6.38Fairfield University-1.682.9%1st Place
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2.68Bowdoin College0.5226.3%1st Place
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6.01Middlebury College-1.463.8%1st Place
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6.14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.423.2%1st Place
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6.2University of New Hampshire-1.543.4%1st Place
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7.58Bates College-2.521.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Kitay | 24.6% | 23.4% | 20.7% | 15.5% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Cabell | 24.6% | 23.2% | 20.1% | 16.1% | 9.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.1% | 17.6% | 19.1% | 14.2% | 9.6% | 4.5% | 0.8% |
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 15.0% | 17.3% | 22.1% | 15.2% |
| Kique Ruiz | 26.3% | 25.6% | 20.8% | 14.7% | 7.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 18.9% | 16.8% | 11.2% |
| Andy Giaya | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 16.3% | 19.2% | 18.9% | 12.3% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 11.8% | 17.1% | 18.2% | 19.7% | 12.7% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 17.1% | 47.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.