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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.92+7.23vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.64+7.49vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College3.52+7.04vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.76+0.89vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+4.63vs Predicted
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6Stanford University3.72+2.98vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+1.38vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.47+2.42vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.11+2.52vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College3.24+1.12vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-3.36vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.05+0.43vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.49-3.20vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.78-5.09vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.47-0.88vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.37-5.56vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.03-4.95vs Predicted
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18Columbia University2.55-3.95vs Predicted
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19Yale University3.89-11.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.23Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.49Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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10.04Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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4.89College of Charleston4.760.2%1st Place
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9.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.0%1st Place
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8.98Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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10.42Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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11.52Dartmouth College3.110.0%1st Place
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11.12Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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12.43University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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9.8Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.91Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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14.12Fordham University2.470.0%1st Place
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10.44Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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12.05Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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14.05Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.85Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Bailey | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% |
| Juan Maegli | 15.8% | 14.4% | 11.8% | 12.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Louis Padnos | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Oliver Toole | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Connor Needham | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.2% |
| Bo McClatchy | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 3.7% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 9.8% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| Adam Keally | 1.6% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 26.9% |
| William Hutchings | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% |
| Ian Towill | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.7% |
| Conor Cashel | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 12.7% | 21.9% |
| Cam Cullman | 8.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.