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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire-1.54+5.30vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.00+2.29vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.52-0.32vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College0.50-1.12vs Predicted
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5Boston University0.43-2.18vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.68+0.44vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-0.97vs Predicted
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8Bates College-2.52-0.40vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College-1.46-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3University of New Hampshire-1.542.6%1st Place
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4.29University of New Hampshire-0.0010.0%1st Place
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2.68Bowdoin College0.5228.1%1st Place
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2.88Bowdoin College0.5023.6%1st Place
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2.82Boston University0.4323.9%1st Place
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6.44Fairfield University-1.682.9%1st Place
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6.03University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.423.8%1st Place
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7.6Bates College-2.521.1%1st Place
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5.96Middlebury College-1.463.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kathleen Hanson | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 15.6% | 19.9% | 19.6% | 14.0% |
| James Sullivan | 10.0% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 14.6% | 8.5% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Kique Ruiz | 28.1% | 23.2% | 20.9% | 15.0% | 8.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Kitay | 23.6% | 22.9% | 21.0% | 15.6% | 10.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| John Cabell | 23.9% | 23.8% | 21.2% | 15.8% | 9.4% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 22.7% | 15.7% |
| Andy Giaya | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 13.2% | 17.7% | 17.4% | 17.3% | 12.2% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 13.0% | 19.4% | 46.4% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 19.1% | 16.2% | 10.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.