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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.72+8.03vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+5.76vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+5.32vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.64+5.39vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston4.76+0.07vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.89+2.27vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.11+4.82vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+1.58vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College3.52+0.73vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.47+0.11vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.47+3.36vs Predicted
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12Tufts University3.37-0.99vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.49-3.19vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-5.63vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College3.24-3.95vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.55-1.96vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.05-5.04vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.03-6.03vs Predicted
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19Connecticut College3.78-10.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.03Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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7.76St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.32Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.39Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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5.07College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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8.27Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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11.82Dartmouth College3.110.0%1st Place
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9.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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9.73Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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10.11Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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14.36Fordham University2.470.0%1st Place
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11.01Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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9.81Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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11.05Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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14.04Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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11.96University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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11.97Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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8.33Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Toole | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| Fletcher Sims | 8.1% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| William Bailey | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Juan Maegli | 13.4% | 14.2% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cam Cullman | 8.1% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Bo McClatchy | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% |
| Louis Padnos | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Connor Needham | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 3.1% |
| Adam Keally | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 10.9% | 15.0% | 23.5% |
| William Hutchings | 4.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Wesley Byrne | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% |
| Conor Cashel | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 23.4% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 8.7% |
| Ian Towill | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% |
| Kevin Martland | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.