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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.50+1.92vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.00+2.34vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.52-0.31vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-1.54+2.20vs Predicted
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5Bates College-2.52+2.57vs Predicted
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6Boston University0.43-3.22vs Predicted
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7Middlebury College-1.46-1.05vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-1.86vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University-1.68-2.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.92Bowdoin College0.5023.8%1st Place
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4.34University of New Hampshire-0.009.5%1st Place
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2.69Bowdoin College0.5227.2%1st Place
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6.2University of New Hampshire-1.543.5%1st Place
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7.57Bates College-2.521.1%1st Place
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2.78Boston University0.4325.7%1st Place
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5.95Middlebury College-1.463.4%1st Place
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6.14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.422.7%1st Place
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6.41Fairfield University-1.683.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Kitay | 23.8% | 22.5% | 20.1% | 15.0% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| James Sullivan | 9.5% | 12.3% | 12.4% | 17.2% | 18.1% | 15.7% | 10.1% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Kique Ruiz | 27.2% | 23.4% | 21.7% | 15.1% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 12.5% | 15.3% | 18.8% | 19.7% | 13.2% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 12.1% | 19.1% | 46.1% |
| John Cabell | 25.7% | 23.1% | 21.2% | 15.4% | 9.1% | 4.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 17.9% | 16.2% | 17.9% | 10.5% |
| Andy Giaya | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 12.3% | 16.1% | 20.3% | 18.5% | 11.5% |
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 3.1% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 18.2% | 20.0% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.