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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.76+3.93vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.64+7.40vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+4.82vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.72+5.05vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.47+5.46vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.89+2.23vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.05+5.12vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.49+2.34vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.87vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.37+0.55vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College3.24+0.20vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.92-3.53vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.78-4.51vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.52-3.96vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-5.79vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.11-4.41vs Predicted
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17Columbia University2.55-3.01vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.03-6.04vs Predicted
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19Fordham University2.47-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.93College of Charleston4.760.1%1st Place
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9.4Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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7.82St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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9.05Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.46Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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8.23Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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12.12University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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10.34Harvard University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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10.55Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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11.2Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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8.47Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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8.49Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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10.04Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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9.21Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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11.59Dartmouth College3.110.0%1st Place
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13.99Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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11.96Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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14.01Fordham University2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Maegli | 14.8% | 15.9% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% |
| Fletcher Sims | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Connor Needham | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 2.7% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% |
| Brian Drumm | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.9% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% |
| William Hutchings | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Wesley Byrne | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.5% |
| William Bailey | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Louis Padnos | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% |
| Bo McClatchy | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% |
| Conor Cashel | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 23.8% |
| Ian Towill | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% |
| Adam Keally | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 23.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.