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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.76+3.90vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College3.52+7.97vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.92+5.29vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.37+6.66vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+3.53vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.89+2.25vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.72+2.07vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.64+1.60vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.24+1.97vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-0.77vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.11+0.74vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-4.01vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.47-3.09vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.78-5.11vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.49-5.03vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.55-1.96vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island3.05-5.01vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.03-6.00vs Predicted
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19Fordham University2.47-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.9College of Charleston4.760.2%1st Place
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9.97Bowdoin College3.520.1%1st Place
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8.29Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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10.66Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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8.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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8.25Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.07Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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9.6Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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10.97Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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9.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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11.74Dartmouth College3.110.0%1st Place
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7.99St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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9.91Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.89Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.97Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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14.04Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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11.99University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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12.0Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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14.01Fordham University2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Maegli | 16.0% | 14.3% | 13.2% | 11.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Croteau | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.6% |
| William Bailey | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| William Hutchings | 3.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Andrew Sommer | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Cam Cullman | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.9% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.2% |
| Louis Padnos | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Bo McClatchy | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Connor Needham | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.9% |
| Conor Cashel | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 12.5% | 23.7% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.6% |
| Ian Towill | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% |
| Adam Keally | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.4% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.