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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.50+1.91vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.43+0.81vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-1.46+2.98vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-1.68+2.40vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-0.00-0.76vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.54+0.30vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College0.52-4.28vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-1.98vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.52-1.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.91Bowdoin College0.5024.4%1st Place
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2.81Boston University0.4325.2%1st Place
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5.98Middlebury College-1.463.0%1st Place
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6.4Fairfield University-1.683.0%1st Place
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4.24University of New Hampshire-0.0010.0%1st Place
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6.3University of New Hampshire-1.543.5%1st Place
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2.72Bowdoin College0.5226.1%1st Place
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6.02University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.423.0%1st Place
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7.62Bates College-2.521.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Kitay | 24.4% | 20.8% | 21.3% | 16.3% | 10.2% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Cabell | 25.2% | 23.9% | 20.1% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 18.3% | 18.6% | 9.4% |
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 15.8% | 19.0% | 20.4% | 16.0% |
| James Sullivan | 10.0% | 12.4% | 13.5% | 19.2% | 16.3% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 3.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 11.8% | 16.0% | 19.7% | 19.2% | 14.5% |
| Kique Ruiz | 26.1% | 24.1% | 22.7% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Andy Giaya | 3.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 14.5% | 17.4% | 18.2% | 17.8% | 10.2% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 18.5% | 49.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.