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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.64+8.44vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+6.35vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.47+7.26vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.72+5.10vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.37+5.92vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.03+5.91vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.89+1.33vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-0.09vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.92-1.01vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-0.77vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College3.24+0.20vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston4.76-6.93vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.05-1.18vs Predicted
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14Harvard University3.49-3.72vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.11-3.43vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.52-6.20vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.78-8.22vs Predicted
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18Columbia University2.55-3.96vs Predicted
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19Fordham University2.47-4.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.44Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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8.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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10.26Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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9.1Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.92Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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11.91Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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8.33Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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7.91St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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7.99Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.23Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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11.2Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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5.07College of Charleston4.760.2%1st Place
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11.82University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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10.28Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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11.57Dartmouth College3.110.0%1st Place
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9.8Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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8.78Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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14.04Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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14.01Fordham University2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Adams | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% |
| Andrew Sommer | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Connor Needham | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.1% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| William Hutchings | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 3.9% |
| Ian Towill | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| William Bailey | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Louis Padnos | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.9% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 4.7% |
| Juan Maegli | 15.5% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.7% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Bo McClatchy | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 15.1% | 21.0% |
| Adam Keally | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 13.5% | 22.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.