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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.50+1.85vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-0.00+2.33vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University-1.68+3.37vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College-1.46+2.09vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.54+1.22vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College0.52-3.38vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.43-4.15vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-2.01vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.52-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.85Bowdoin College0.5023.9%1st Place
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4.33University of New Hampshire-0.009.7%1st Place
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6.37Fairfield University-1.682.9%1st Place
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6.09Middlebury College-1.463.5%1st Place
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6.22University of New Hampshire-1.542.6%1st Place
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2.62Bowdoin College0.5227.6%1st Place
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2.85Boston University0.4324.7%1st Place
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5.99University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.423.7%1st Place
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7.67Bates College-2.521.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alex Kitay | 23.9% | 23.8% | 20.2% | 16.0% | 10.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 9.7% | 10.9% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 18.1% | 15.3% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 1.1% |
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 18.4% | 20.7% | 15.6% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 13.0% | 16.7% | 20.4% | 17.3% | 11.2% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 12.1% | 15.8% | 19.2% | 18.4% | 13.6% |
| Kique Ruiz | 27.6% | 25.6% | 21.2% | 13.6% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| John Cabell | 24.7% | 22.8% | 19.8% | 16.7% | 10.2% | 4.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Andy Giaya | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 17.0% | 18.6% | 18.6% | 9.5% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 11.0% | 19.8% | 48.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.