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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+7.27vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.64+7.44vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.76+1.98vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.05+8.09vs Predicted
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5Stanford University3.72+4.31vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.89+2.22vs Predicted
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7Harvard University3.49+3.12vs Predicted
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8Eckerd College3.24+3.49vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-1.47vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.92-1.93vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.52-1.13vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College3.78-2.92vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University3.47-3.10vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.03-1.74vs Predicted
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15Tufts University3.37-4.51vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.11-4.37vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-7.75vs Predicted
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18Columbia University2.55-3.97vs Predicted
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19Fordham University2.47-5.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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9.44Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
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4.98College of Charleston4.760.2%1st Place
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12.09University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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9.31Stanford University3.720.0%1st Place
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8.22Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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10.12Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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11.49Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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7.53St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.07Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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9.87Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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9.08Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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9.9Roger Williams University3.470.1%1st Place
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12.26Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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10.49Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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11.63Dartmouth College3.110.0%1st Place
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9.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
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14.03Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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13.97Fordham University2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Sommer | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% |
| Juan Maegli | 17.0% | 14.7% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% |
| Oliver Toole | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Cam Cullman | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Wesley Byrne | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% |
| Fletcher Sims | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| William Bailey | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% |
| Connor Needham | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% |
| Ian Towill | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.9% |
| William Hutchings | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% |
| Bo McClatchy | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% |
| Louis Padnos | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Conor Cashel | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 13.3% | 22.7% |
| Adam Keally | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 14.1% | 22.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.