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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.43+1.87vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.52+0.63vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College-1.46+2.84vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.00+0.41vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.50-2.07vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University-1.68+0.33vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-0.86vs Predicted
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8University of New Hampshire-1.54-1.78vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.52-1.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.87Boston University0.4323.4%1st Place
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2.63Bowdoin College0.5229.4%1st Place
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5.84Middlebury College-1.464.1%1st Place
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4.41University of New Hampshire-0.009.9%1st Place
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2.93Bowdoin College0.5021.9%1st Place
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6.33Fairfield University-1.683.1%1st Place
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6.14University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.424.1%1st Place
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6.22University of New Hampshire-1.543.1%1st Place
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7.61Bates College-2.520.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Cabell | 23.4% | 24.5% | 18.8% | 17.1% | 9.4% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kique Ruiz | 29.4% | 23.1% | 21.4% | 13.6% | 8.0% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 4.1% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 16.7% | 18.0% | 16.6% | 9.4% |
| James Sullivan | 9.9% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 17.3% | 18.9% | 15.1% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.1% |
| Alex Kitay | 21.9% | 22.7% | 21.9% | 16.9% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 11.6% | 14.6% | 17.8% | 20.4% | 16.2% |
| Andy Giaya | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 11.4% | 17.9% | 18.8% | 18.2% | 12.4% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 14.8% | 19.1% | 20.4% | 13.1% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.