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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.37+9.60vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.72+7.08vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.47+7.26vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.89+4.27vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.64+4.67vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.92+2.15vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+0.69vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.49+2.32vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90-0.88vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.05+1.98vs Predicted
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11Columbia University2.55+3.04vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65-2.29vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.03-1.17vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College3.24-2.70vs Predicted
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15Dartmouth College3.11-3.45vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College3.52-6.19vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College3.78-8.26vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.47-3.72vs Predicted
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19College of Charleston4.76-14.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.6Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
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9.08Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.26Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
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8.27Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
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9.67Brown University3.640.0%1st Place
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8.15Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
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7.69St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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10.32Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
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8.12Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.1%1st Place
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11.98University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
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14.04Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.0%1st Place
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11.83Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
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11.3Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
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11.55Dartmouth College3.110.0%1st Place
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9.81Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
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8.74Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
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14.28Fordham University2.470.0%1st Place
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4.59College of Charleston4.760.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hutchings | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Connor Needham | 4.4% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% |
| Cam Cullman | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Lucas Adams | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
| William Bailey | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Andrew Sommer | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 8.3% |
| Conor Cashel | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 14.1% | 21.5% |
| Louis Padnos | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Ian Towill | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% |
| Wesley Byrne | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 5.4% |
| Bo McClatchy | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% |
| Michael Croteau | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.3% |
| Kevin Martland | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Adam Keally | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 14.0% | 23.6% |
| Juan Maegli | 17.5% | 14.1% | 16.4% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.