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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.52+1.67vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.50+0.93vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.00+1.28vs Predicted
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4Boston University0.43-1.12vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University-1.68+1.42vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-1.54+0.19vs Predicted
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7Bates College-2.52+0.57vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.46-2.02vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-2.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.67Bowdoin College0.5227.6%1st Place
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2.93Bowdoin College0.5023.0%1st Place
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4.28University of New Hampshire-0.009.8%1st Place
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2.88Boston University0.4324.4%1st Place
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6.42Fairfield University-1.682.9%1st Place
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6.19University of New Hampshire-1.543.3%1st Place
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7.57Bates College-2.521.7%1st Place
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5.98Middlebury College-1.464.2%1st Place
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6.08University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.423.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kique Ruiz | 27.6% | 24.6% | 20.4% | 15.1% | 7.3% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alex Kitay | 23.0% | 22.1% | 21.6% | 16.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| James Sullivan | 9.8% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 18.4% | 18.6% | 14.5% | 8.8% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| John Cabell | 24.4% | 22.8% | 20.1% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 18.1% | 20.8% | 17.0% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 16.4% | 18.6% | 20.0% | 12.3% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 18.1% | 48.1% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 10.0% |
| Andy Giaya | 3.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 13.2% | 15.2% | 19.8% | 18.4% | 11.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.