← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alex Kitay 23.0% 20.5% 20.2% 15.8% 9.7% 7.1% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Kathleen Hanson 2.8% 4.0% 5.1% 7.2% 10.5% 12.5% 13.6% 15.4% 17.1% 11.8%
Anastasia Mastrocola 2.6% 3.6% 4.5% 6.6% 9.3% 12.0% 14.9% 17.1% 16.9% 12.3%
James Sullivan 8.9% 12.0% 13.6% 16.7% 17.0% 13.5% 9.7% 5.8% 2.1% 0.7%
Kique Ruiz 28.2% 23.7% 19.8% 15.0% 7.7% 3.2% 1.8% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Benjamin Joseph 3.9% 5.1% 5.7% 7.4% 10.4% 14.2% 15.2% 15.2% 13.6% 9.4%
John Cabell 23.6% 21.9% 20.5% 15.5% 10.0% 5.7% 2.1% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Mitchel Soederberg 0.9% 1.9% 1.9% 2.6% 5.1% 7.0% 8.6% 12.6% 17.4% 42.0%
Andy Giaya 2.9% 3.8% 4.5% 7.8% 12.1% 12.8% 15.7% 16.1% 14.0% 10.4%
Adrian Whitney 2.9% 3.5% 4.3% 5.5% 8.3% 12.0% 15.4% 16.2% 18.6% 13.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.