← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College3.52+8.96vs Predicted
-
2Stanford University3.72+7.07vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College3.24+8.28vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.64+5.48vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.90+3.49vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University3.37+4.45vs Predicted
-
7St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03+0.76vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University3.49+2.35vs Predicted
-
9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.65+0.09vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.89-1.85vs Predicted
-
11College of Charleston4.76-6.11vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island3.05+0.44vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College3.78-4.54vs Predicted
-
14Dartmouth College3.11-2.12vs Predicted
-
15Boston College3.92-6.86vs Predicted
-
16Columbia University2.55-2.00vs Predicted
-
17Roger Williams University3.47-6.81vs Predicted
-
18Boston University3.03-6.04vs Predicted
-
19Fordham University2.47-5.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.96Bowdoin College3.520.0%1st Place
-
9.07Stanford University3.720.1%1st Place
-
11.28Eckerd College3.240.0%1st Place
-
9.48Brown University3.640.1%1st Place
-
8.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.900.0%1st Place
-
10.45Tufts University3.370.0%1st Place
-
7.76St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
-
10.35Harvard University3.490.0%1st Place
-
9.09Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.650.1%1st Place
-
8.15Yale University3.890.1%1st Place
-
4.89College of Charleston4.760.2%1st Place
-
12.44University of Rhode Island3.050.0%1st Place
-
8.46Connecticut College3.780.1%1st Place
-
11.88Dartmouth College3.110.0%1st Place
-
8.14Boston College3.920.1%1st Place
-
14.0Columbia University2.550.0%1st Place
-
10.19Roger Williams University3.470.0%1st Place
-
11.96Boston University3.030.0%1st Place
-
13.96Fordham University2.470.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Croteau | 3.8% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 2.6% |
| Oliver Toole | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 0.9% |
| Wesley Byrne | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Lucas Adams | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Sommer | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| William Hutchings | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% |
| Fletcher Sims | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Brian Drumm | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% |
| Louis Padnos | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% |
| Cam Cullman | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Juan Maegli | 16.2% | 14.0% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Caleb Armstrong | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.5% |
| Kevin Martland | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Bo McClatchy | 3.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.3% |
| William Bailey | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Conor Cashel | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 12.3% | 23.0% |
| Connor Needham | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% |
| Ian Towill | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.3% |
| Adam Keally | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 20.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.