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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.50+2.06vs Predicted
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2University of New Hampshire-1.54+4.73vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University-1.68+3.85vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire-0.00+0.46vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College0.52-2.30vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College-1.46+0.43vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.43-4.04vs Predicted
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8Bates College-2.52+0.25vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-2.39vs Predicted
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10Amherst College-1.69-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06Bowdoin College0.5023.0%1st Place
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6.73University of New Hampshire-1.542.8%1st Place
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6.85Fairfield University-1.682.6%1st Place
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4.46University of New Hampshire-0.008.9%1st Place
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2.7Bowdoin College0.5228.2%1st Place
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6.43Middlebury College-1.463.9%1st Place
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2.96Boston University0.4323.6%1st Place
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8.25Bates College-2.520.9%1st Place
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6.61University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.422.9%1st Place
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6.96Amherst College-1.692.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alex Kitay | 23.0% | 20.5% | 20.2% | 15.8% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Kathleen Hanson | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 17.1% | 11.8% |
Anastasia Mastrocola | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 17.1% | 16.9% | 12.3% |
James Sullivan | 8.9% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 16.7% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
Kique Ruiz | 28.2% | 23.7% | 19.8% | 15.0% | 7.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Benjamin Joseph | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 15.2% | 15.2% | 13.6% | 9.4% |
John Cabell | 23.6% | 21.9% | 20.5% | 15.5% | 10.0% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Mitchel Soederberg | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 12.6% | 17.4% | 42.0% |
Andy Giaya | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 15.7% | 16.1% | 14.0% | 10.4% |
Adrian Whitney | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 16.2% | 18.6% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.