Race 8A

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Caroline Patten 26.3% 21.8% 18.5% 15.1% 10.1% 6.2% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Graham Gardner 8.5% 13.9% 13.5% 15.9% 18.4% 16.6% 10.0% 3.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Harry Scott 26.6% 21.5% 18.6% 15.1% 11.1% 5.6% 1.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
James Allsopp 12.3% 13.2% 15.4% 15.3% 17.7% 15.3% 9.4% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Billy Hluchan 7.0% 8.4% 11.3% 12.2% 13.8% 20.2% 19.2% 6.8% 1.1% 0.0%
Evan Siepert 14.1% 16.1% 17.2% 16.5% 16.4% 13.3% 5.2% 1.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Street 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 1.2% 1.2% 2.9% 7.5% 25.9% 59.9% 0.0%
Andrew Bergan 3.5% 4.0% 3.7% 6.6% 9.5% 15.7% 35.3% 16.9% 4.8% 0.0%
Brian Street 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 1.2% 1.2% 2.9% 7.5% 25.9% 59.9% 0.0%
Elizabeth Siegal 1.0% 0.7% 1.5% 2.1% 1.8% 4.2% 10.5% 44.3% 33.9% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.