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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College0.52+1.74vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.43+0.82vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.50-0.13vs Predicted
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4Fairfield University-1.68+2.46vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.54+1.25vs Predicted
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6University of New Hampshire-0.00-1.78vs Predicted
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7University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.42-0.90vs Predicted
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8Middlebury College-1.46-1.98vs Predicted
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9Bates College-2.52-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.74Bowdoin College0.5225.9%1st Place
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2.82Boston University0.4325.9%1st Place
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2.87Bowdoin College0.5023.1%1st Place
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6.46Fairfield University-1.683.3%1st Place
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6.25University of New Hampshire-1.542.9%1st Place
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4.22University of New Hampshire-0.0010.9%1st Place
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6.1University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.422.9%1st Place
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6.02Middlebury College-1.463.6%1st Place
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7.51Bates College-2.521.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kique Ruiz | 25.9% | 24.1% | 20.4% | 16.6% | 8.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| John Cabell | 25.9% | 22.2% | 20.2% | 15.8% | 9.3% | 4.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Alex Kitay | 23.1% | 24.1% | 20.9% | 15.6% | 10.1% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anastasia Mastrocola | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 15.2% | 18.9% | 21.6% | 16.7% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 16.0% | 18.4% | 20.2% | 13.3% |
| James Sullivan | 10.9% | 11.1% | 14.6% | 18.6% | 17.9% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Andy Giaya | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 14.1% | 16.5% | 19.4% | 17.9% | 11.5% |
| Benjamin Joseph | 3.6% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 12.3% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 10.7% |
| Mitchel Soederberg | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 17.9% | 46.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.