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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+4.98vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+7.70vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida3.17+7.33vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.18+6.20vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.74+2.97vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.88+1.20vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.01-0.32vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston4.11-1.49vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.05+1.56vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-0.51vs Predicted
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11Harvard University3.05-0.26vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.89-0.19vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.90-1.82vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.73-6.08vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.02-4.18vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-4.35vs Predicted
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17Fordham University2.11-2.51vs Predicted
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18Columbia University2.43-4.67vs Predicted
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19Boston University2.32-5.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.98Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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9.7St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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10.33University of South Florida3.170.0%1st Place
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10.2Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.97Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.2Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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6.68Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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6.51College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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10.56Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
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10.74Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.81Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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11.18Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.92Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.82University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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11.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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14.49Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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13.33Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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13.44Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 10.4% | 13.8% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Connor Brady | 4.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.4% |
| John Renehan | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.9% |
| Marlena Fauer | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Pearson Potts | 10.5% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 10.8% | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Drew Shea | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.4% |
| Tony Collins | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% |
| Mia Cooper | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 27.8% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 15.8% |
| Ian Paice | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 13.4% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.