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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+5.70vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.82+3.43vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+1.22vs Predicted
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4University of Vermont0.87+4.39vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.61+1.09vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.31+1.85vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.18+0.26vs Predicted
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8Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-0.96vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-0.66vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.97-2.05vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.12-0.27vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.17-1.00vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.57-0.40vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-1.75vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.49-8.50vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.68-2.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.558.2%1st Place
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5.43Brown University1.8211.9%1st Place
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4.22Brown University2.2218.9%1st Place
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8.39University of Vermont0.875.1%1st Place
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6.09University of Rhode Island1.619.4%1st Place
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7.85Salve Regina University1.315.8%1st Place
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7.26Tufts University1.186.6%1st Place
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7.04Palm Beach Atlantic University1.267.0%1st Place
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8.34Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.725.1%1st Place
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7.95Boston University0.975.3%1st Place
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10.73Northeastern University0.122.2%1st Place
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11.0Northwestern University0.171.8%1st Place
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12.6Princeton University-0.571.5%1st Place
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12.25SUNY Stony Brook-0.281.9%1st Place
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6.5Northwestern University1.498.4%1st Place
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13.66SUNY Stony Brook-0.680.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Elliott | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Styron | 11.9% | 13.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mason Stang | 18.9% | 15.7% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.9% |
| Miles Williams | 9.4% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Green | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 0.9% |
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Samuel Rooks | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 12.0% | 7.0% |
| Matthew Beretta | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 12.3% | 7.8% |
| William Roberts | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 13.6% | 20.2% | 22.4% |
| Brendan Strein | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 10.5% | 16.2% | 19.5% | 17.3% |
| Shea Smith | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 18.6% | 41.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.