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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College4.01+5.66vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+7.67vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College2.89+8.55vs Predicted
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4Stanford University4.19+1.95vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.17+5.57vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston4.11+0.31vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island3.02+4.01vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.740.00vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.18+0.99vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.88-3.00vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.05-0.22vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-2.09vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-1.46vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.73-6.11vs Predicted
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15Harvard University3.05-4.34vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.43-2.70vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.32-3.25vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.11-3.48vs Predicted
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19Bowdoin College2.90-8.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.67St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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11.55Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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5.95Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.57University of South Florida3.170.0%1st Place
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6.31College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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11.01University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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8.0Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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9.99Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.0Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.78Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.91Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
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11.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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7.89Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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10.66Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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13.3Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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13.75Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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14.52Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.93Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Tony Collins | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.1% |
| Kieran Chung | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Brady | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 2.5% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 11.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.5% |
| Marlena Fauer | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| John Renehan | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Drew Shea | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Elliott Morrill | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Irene Jacqz | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 13.9% |
| Ian Paice | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 13.3% | 19.4% |
| Mia Cooper | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 27.2% |
| Peter Edmunds | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 3.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.