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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.11+5.32vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.18+8.27vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.74+4.87vs Predicted
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4Boston College4.01+2.64vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.05+6.08vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+3.54vs Predicted
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7Stanford University4.19-0.99vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.90+3.62vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+0.42vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island3.02+0.87vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida3.17-0.75vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.88-4.56vs Predicted
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13Harvard University3.05-2.51vs Predicted
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14Columbia University2.43-0.46vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.89-3.66vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.73-8.38vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-5.25vs Predicted
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18Boston University2.32-4.29vs Predicted
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19Fordham University2.11-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.32College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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10.27Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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7.87Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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6.64Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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11.08Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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9.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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6.01Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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11.62Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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9.42Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
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10.87University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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10.25University of South Florida3.170.0%1st Place
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7.44Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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10.49Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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13.54Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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11.34Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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7.62Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.75Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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13.71Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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14.21Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Banholzer | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| John Renehan | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Marlena Fauer | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.8% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Drew Shea | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.7% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% |
| Kieran Chung | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Peter Edmunds | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% |
| Elliott Morrill | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% |
| Chanel Miller | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 3.3% |
| Connor Brady | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.7% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 13.9% | 14.8% |
| Tony Collins | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% |
| Ian Paice | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 17.7% |
| Mia Cooper | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 13.0% | 23.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.