← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College4.01+5.65vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston4.11+4.36vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College3.18+7.32vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32+5.60vs Predicted
-
5Brown University3.05+6.07vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida3.17+4.16vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University3.05+3.85vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University4.19-1.79vs Predicted
-
9St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+0.44vs Predicted
-
10Eckerd College2.89+1.37vs Predicted
-
11Yale University3.74-3.20vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.88-4.52vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College2.90-1.78vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University3.73-6.10vs Predicted
-
15Columbia University2.43-1.84vs Predicted
-
16Fordham University2.11-1.50vs Predicted
-
17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-5.26vs Predicted
-
18Boston University2.32-4.29vs Predicted
-
19University of Rhode Island3.02-8.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.65Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
-
6.36College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
-
10.32Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
-
9.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
-
11.07Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
-
10.16University of South Florida3.170.1%1st Place
-
10.85Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
-
6.21Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
-
9.44St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
-
11.37Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
-
7.8Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
-
7.48Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
-
11.22Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
-
7.9Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
-
13.16Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
-
14.5Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
-
11.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
-
13.71Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
-
10.46University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erika Reineke | 8.5% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| John Renehan | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% |
| Elliott Morrill | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Drew Shea | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.1% |
| Connor Brady | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% |
| Kieran Chung | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jacob La Dow | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Tony Collins | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 4.7% |
| Marlena Fauer | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 10.6% | 17.6% |
| Mia Cooper | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 13.8% | 25.3% |
| Chloe Lepert | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 7.5% |
| Ian Paice | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 13.8% | 17.3% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.