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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+5.04vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.05+8.83vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.05+7.83vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston4.11+2.27vs Predicted
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5Eckerd College2.89+6.81vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30+3.54vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.01-0.31vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island3.02+3.11vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida3.17+1.11vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-0.53vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.18-0.87vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.32+2.16vs Predicted
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13Yale University3.74-5.43vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.73-6.08vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College2.90-3.72vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.88-8.91vs Predicted
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17Columbia University2.43-3.70vs Predicted
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18Fordham University2.11-3.50vs Predicted
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19Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-7.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.04Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.83Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.83Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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6.27College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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11.81Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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9.54St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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6.69Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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11.11University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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10.11University of South Florida3.170.0%1st Place
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9.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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10.13Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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14.16Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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7.57Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.92Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.28Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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7.09Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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13.3Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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14.5Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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11.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Drew Shea | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 3.9% |
| Michael Drumm | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.7% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tony Collins | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Connor Brady | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Elliott Morrill | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| John Renehan | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% |
| Ian Paice | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 15.1% | 19.1% |
| Marlena Fauer | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Irene Jacqz | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 15.1% |
| Mia Cooper | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 11.3% | 12.9% | 24.8% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.