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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.11+5.27vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+5.79vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.88+4.29vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.90+7.46vs Predicted
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5Stanford University4.19+1.23vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.02+4.75vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.73+0.87vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.05+3.00vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College2.89+2.26vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82+1.73vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.18-0.85vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-2.06vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.01-6.54vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.05-3.11vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida3.17-4.89vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-6.53vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.32-3.25vs Predicted
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18Columbia University2.43-4.63vs Predicted
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19Fordham University2.11-4.79vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.27College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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7.79Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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7.29Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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11.46Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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6.23Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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10.75University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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7.87Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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11.0Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.26Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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11.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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10.15Dartmouth College3.180.0%1st Place
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9.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.0%1st Place
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6.46Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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10.89Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.11University of South Florida3.170.0%1st Place
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9.47St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.1%1st Place
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13.75Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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13.37Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
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14.21Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Banholzer | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marlena Fauer | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Pearson Potts | 9.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Peter Edmunds | 2.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 4.7% |
| Kieran Chung | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Chanel Miller | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.3% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 6.9% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.5% |
| Tony Collins | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% |
| Chloe Lepert | 3.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 6.5% |
| John Renehan | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.4% |
| Elliott Morrill | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 1.6% |
| Erika Reineke | 10.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Drew Shea | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% |
| Connor Brady | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 3.4% |
| Jacob La Dow | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% |
| Ian Paice | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 12.5% | 20.1% |
| Irene Jacqz | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 12.9% | 14.8% |
| Mia Cooper | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 13.3% | 23.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.