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📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.49+5.38vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.48+7.34vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.31+4.85vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.82+1.35vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.87+3.38vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.18+1.05vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-0.29vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.22-3.91vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University0.12+1.65vs Predicted
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10Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-3.17vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-2.91vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.17-1.03vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.57-0.43vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.68-0.50vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-2.78vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island1.61-9.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Northwestern University1.499.2%1st Place
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9.34Boston University0.483.0%1st Place
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7.85Salve Regina University1.316.5%1st Place
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5.35Brown University1.8213.0%1st Place
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8.38University of Vermont0.874.3%1st Place
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7.05Tufts University1.187.2%1st Place
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6.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.557.2%1st Place
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4.09Brown University2.2218.8%1st Place
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10.65Northeastern University0.122.4%1st Place
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6.83Palm Beach Atlantic University1.267.8%1st Place
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8.09Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.725.5%1st Place
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10.97Northwestern University0.172.1%1st Place
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12.57Princeton University-0.571.1%1st Place
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13.5SUNY Stony Brook-0.680.8%1st Place
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12.22SUNY Stony Brook-0.281.5%1st Place
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6.03University of Rhode Island1.619.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Smith | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Wiegand | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 2.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Styron | 13.0% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Elliott | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Mason Stang | 18.8% | 16.4% | 15.2% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rooks | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 10.1% | 6.2% |
| Thomas Green | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Egeli | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Matthew Beretta | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.8% | 14.5% | 7.1% |
| William Roberts | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 12.5% | 19.1% | 24.3% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 18.6% | 38.8% |
| Brendan Strein | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 19.0% | 18.2% |
| Miles Williams | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.