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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University4.19+5.05vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.74+5.85vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.05+7.92vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.17+6.31vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.02+6.20vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.18+4.07vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.88+0.29vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.05+3.03vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.90+2.19vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.89+1.39vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston4.11-4.74vs Predicted
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12Boston College4.01-5.09vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.32-3.64vs Predicted
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14Tufts University3.73-6.07vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.11-0.70vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.32-2.27vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.82-5.24vs Predicted
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18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.30-8.52vs Predicted
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19Columbia University2.43-6.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.05Stanford University4.190.1%1st Place
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7.85Yale University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.92Brown University3.050.0%1st Place
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10.31University of South Florida3.170.0%1st Place
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11.2University of Rhode Island3.020.0%1st Place
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10.07Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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7.29Brown University3.880.1%1st Place
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11.03Harvard University3.050.0%1st Place
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11.19Bowdoin College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.39Eckerd College2.890.0%1st Place
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6.26College of Charleston4.110.1%1st Place
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6.91Boston College4.010.1%1st Place
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9.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.320.1%1st Place
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7.93Tufts University3.730.1%1st Place
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14.3Fordham University2.110.0%1st Place
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13.73Boston University2.320.0%1st Place
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11.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.820.0%1st Place
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9.48St. Mary's College of Maryland3.300.0%1st Place
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12.98Columbia University2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kieran Chung | 10.6% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Marlena Fauer | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Drew Shea | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% |
| Connor Brady | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 1.9% |
| Chanel Miller | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| John Renehan | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.3% |
| Pearson Potts | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Michael Drumm | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 4.2% |
| Peter Edmunds | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.3% |
| Tony Collins | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 4.1% |
| Christopher Banholzer | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Erika Reineke | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Elliott Morrill | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 2.1% |
| Alejandro Ruiz-Ramon | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Mia Cooper | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 26.9% |
| Ian Paice | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 17.6% |
| Chloe Lepert | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.1% |
| Jacob La Dow | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% |
| Irene Jacqz | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.