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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University1.82+4.52vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72+6.40vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.18+3.95vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+2.71vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.61+0.99vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.12+4.84vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.22-2.73vs Predicted
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8Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-0.93vs Predicted
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9Boston University0.48+0.21vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University1.31-2.23vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont0.87-2.42vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University1.49-5.58vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-0.92vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.68-0.19vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.45-5.37vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-0.57-3.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52Brown University1.8211.7%1st Place
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8.4Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.725.8%1st Place
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6.95Tufts University1.188.2%1st Place
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6.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.557.5%1st Place
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5.99University of Rhode Island1.6110.1%1st Place
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10.84Northeastern University0.122.0%1st Place
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4.27Brown University2.2217.6%1st Place
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7.07Palm Beach Atlantic University1.267.0%1st Place
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9.21Boston University0.484.1%1st Place
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7.77Salve Regina University1.315.8%1st Place
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8.58University of Vermont0.874.2%1st Place
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6.42Northwestern University1.499.5%1st Place
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12.08SUNY Stony Brook-0.281.1%1st Place
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13.81SUNY Stony Brook-0.680.6%1st Place
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9.63Northwestern University0.453.9%1st Place
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12.71Princeton University-0.571.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Styron | 11.7% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Egeli | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 0.6% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Matthew Elliott | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Miles Williams | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Samuel Rooks | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 7.2% |
| Mason Stang | 17.6% | 16.2% | 12.9% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Green | 7.0% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| William Wiegand | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 5.3% | 2.1% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Christian Cushman | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% |
| Shea Smith | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Strein | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 15.8% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 17.6% | 44.0% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 3.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
| William Roberts | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 22.1% | 23.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.