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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.74+4.53vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.29+5.13vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+7.10vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.58+5.92vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+3.49vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University1.83+6.30vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.48-0.39vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.50-1.75vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.92-0.55vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.71-0.63vs Predicted
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11Eckerd College3.14-3.29vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.87-3.23vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-6.71vs Predicted
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14Cornell University3.35-7.20vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.74-5.69vs Predicted
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16University of Miami1.63-3.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.13University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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10.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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9.92Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.49Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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12.3Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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6.61Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.25Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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8.45Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.37Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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7.71Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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8.77Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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6.29St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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6.8Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.31Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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12.98University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mary Hall | 12.1% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 7.5% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 1.4% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 2.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 6.5% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 1.6% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 9.9% | 16.9% | 27.0% |
| Natalie Salk | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Claire Dennis | 10.6% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Haley Powell | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% |
| Melany Johnson | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Corina Radtke | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Kayla McComb | 9.0% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Lauren Turner | 8.4% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 4.0% |
| Kara Voss | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 16.7% | 35.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.