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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+5.59vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.82+3.51vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.31+4.88vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.61+2.02vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont0.87+3.35vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.22-1.59vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.18+0.17vs Predicted
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8Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-1.03vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.45+0.64vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-1.63vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.48-1.85vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.68+1.72vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.57-0.10vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University0.12-3.22vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University1.49-8.66vs Predicted
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16SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-3.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.557.5%1st Place
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5.51Brown University1.8211.9%1st Place
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7.88Salve Regina University1.315.2%1st Place
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6.02University of Rhode Island1.6111.2%1st Place
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8.35University of Vermont0.875.3%1st Place
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4.41Brown University2.2217.4%1st Place
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7.17Tufts University1.186.8%1st Place
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6.97Palm Beach Atlantic University1.266.9%1st Place
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9.64Northwestern University0.453.4%1st Place
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8.37Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.725.0%1st Place
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9.15Boston University0.483.8%1st Place
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13.72SUNY Stony Brook-0.680.7%1st Place
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12.9Princeton University-0.571.6%1st Place
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10.78Northeastern University0.123.3%1st Place
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6.34Northwestern University1.499.0%1st Place
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12.19SUNY Stony Brook-0.281.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Elliott | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Styron | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.4% |
| Miles Williams | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Christian Cushman | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.0% | 1.1% |
| Mason Stang | 17.4% | 15.3% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Thomas Green | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 2.9% |
| Tyler Egeli | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.8% |
| William Wiegand | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.2% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 19.6% | 41.5% |
| William Roberts | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 15.2% | 20.2% | 25.4% |
| Samuel Rooks | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 13.4% | 13.7% | 6.8% |
| Shea Smith | 9.0% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Strein | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 14.1% | 18.8% | 17.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.