Race 9A

maisa-spring-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Caroline Patten 24.9% 23.0% 18.2% 16.2% 9.7% 4.9% 2.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Graham Gardner 8.3% 11.4% 15.5% 16.9% 17.0% 15.1% 10.2% 4.7% 0.9% 0.0%
James Allsopp 11.7% 10.4% 15.0% 14.6% 17.2% 15.3% 10.4% 4.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Harry Scott 26.6% 22.4% 19.6% 14.9% 8.7% 5.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Evan Siepert 15.1% 18.2% 14.8% 15.7% 14.6% 10.5% 7.3% 3.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Billy Hluchan 6.6% 6.8% 9.4% 11.5% 15.7% 20.0% 18.0% 10.2% 1.8% 0.0%
Andrew Bergan 3.0% 4.3% 3.2% 5.3% 8.4% 14.4% 23.8% 27.4% 10.2% 0.0%
Geoff Williams 2.6% 2.5% 3.2% 3.4% 6.8% 9.6% 19.7% 32.1% 20.1% 0.0%
Geoff Williams 2.6% 2.5% 3.2% 3.4% 6.8% 9.6% 19.7% 32.1% 20.1% 0.0%
Elizabeth Siegal 1.2% 1.0% 1.1% 1.5% 1.9% 4.5% 6.2% 17.0% 65.6% 0.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.