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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.97+6.87vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.82+3.66vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.61+3.25vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+2.72vs Predicted
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5Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26+1.88vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.18+1.23vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.22-2.66vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.87+0.63vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University1.31-1.11vs Predicted
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10Northwestern University1.49-3.43vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook-0.68+2.73vs Predicted
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12Northwestern University0.45-2.33vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.12-2.07vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-5.50vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-2.69vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-0.57-3.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.87Boston University0.975.9%1st Place
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5.66Brown University1.8212.4%1st Place
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6.25University of Rhode Island1.619.0%1st Place
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6.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.557.8%1st Place
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6.88Palm Beach Atlantic University1.267.4%1st Place
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7.23Tufts University1.187.3%1st Place
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4.34Brown University2.2217.8%1st Place
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8.63University of Vermont0.875.3%1st Place
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7.89Salve Regina University1.315.9%1st Place
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6.57Northwestern University1.498.2%1st Place
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13.73SUNY Stony Brook-0.680.9%1st Place
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9.67Northwestern University0.453.2%1st Place
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10.93Northeastern University0.122.5%1st Place
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8.5Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.724.3%1st Place
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12.31SUNY Stony Brook-0.281.1%1st Place
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12.8Princeton University-0.570.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Styron | 12.4% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Miles Williams | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Elliott | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Thomas Green | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Mason Stang | 17.8% | 15.2% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christian Cushman | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 1.2% |
| Nils Tullberg | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Shea Smith | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 19.3% | 42.6% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 7.4% | 2.6% |
| Samuel Rooks | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 13.9% | 13.7% | 7.6% |
| Tyler Egeli | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Brendan Strein | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 15.0% | 20.3% | 17.2% |
| William Roberts | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 10.1% | 13.8% | 20.8% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.