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📊 Prediction Accuracy
56.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.61+4.97vs Predicted
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2Northwestern University1.49+4.53vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University1.31+4.88vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.22+0.26vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.18+2.02vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55+0.73vs Predicted
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7Boston University0.97+0.89vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.87+0.45vs Predicted
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9Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-2.04vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-1.80vs Predicted
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11Brown University1.82-5.40vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.12-1.21vs Predicted
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13SUNY Stony Brook-0.68+0.59vs Predicted
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14SUNY Stony Brook-0.28-1.87vs Predicted
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15Northwestern University0.45-5.29vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-1.33-1.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.97University of Rhode Island1.6111.2%1st Place
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6.53Northwestern University1.498.6%1st Place
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7.88Salve Regina University1.316.3%1st Place
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4.26Brown University2.2216.9%1st Place
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7.02Tufts University1.187.4%1st Place
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6.73Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.558.0%1st Place
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7.89Boston University0.975.9%1st Place
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8.45University of Vermont0.874.6%1st Place
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6.96Palm Beach Atlantic University1.267.4%1st Place
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8.2Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.725.3%1st Place
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5.6Brown University1.8210.1%1st Place
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10.79Northeastern University0.121.8%1st Place
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13.59SUNY Stony Brook-0.680.7%1st Place
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12.13SUNY Stony Brook-0.281.7%1st Place
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9.71Northwestern University0.453.5%1st Place
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14.29Princeton University-1.330.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Miles Williams | 11.2% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Shea Smith | 8.6% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Nils Tullberg | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
Mason Stang | 16.9% | 17.6% | 13.6% | 11.8% | 10.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Adrien Bellanger | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Matthew Elliott | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Elliott Mendenhall | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
Christian Cushman | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
Thomas Green | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
Tyler Egeli | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
Thomas Styron | 10.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Samuel Rooks | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 14.0% | 15.7% | 11.5% | 4.3% |
Jessica Schaefer | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 11.9% | 26.3% | 32.0% |
Brendan Strein | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 17.2% | 20.1% | 12.0% |
Nikolas Chambers | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 2.0% |
Robert Rubin | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 9.6% | 21.8% | 47.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.