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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.48+5.41vs Predicted
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2Eckerd College3.14+5.62vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+3.37vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.29+3.32vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.58+4.89vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.74-0.33vs Predicted
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7University of Miami1.63+5.89vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.74+1.06vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-0.61vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+0.18vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.50-4.60vs Predicted
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12Cornell University3.35-5.05vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.92-4.51vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.71-4.86vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.83-2.59vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.87-7.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.41Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.62Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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6.37St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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7.32University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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9.89Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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5.67U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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12.89University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
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9.06Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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10.18U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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6.4Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.95Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.49Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
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9.14Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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12.41Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.79Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Natalie Salk | 9.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Melany Johnson | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.4% |
| Kayla McComb | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Abby Featherstone | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% |
| Mary Hall | 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kara Voss | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 15.7% | 37.8% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 9.6% | 3.5% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 6.9% |
| Claire Dennis | 11.2% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Lauren Turner | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% |
| Haley Powell | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.6% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 4.5% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 19.2% | 26.2% |
| Corina Radtke | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 2.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.