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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.97+6.90vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont0.87+6.50vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+1.30vs Predicted
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4Northwestern University1.49+2.54vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.82+0.49vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.12+4.62vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island1.61-0.84vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University1.31-0.23vs Predicted
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9Northwestern University0.45+0.56vs Predicted
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10Palm Beach Atlantic University1.26-2.99vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.55-4.28vs Predicted
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12SUNY Stony Brook-0.28+0.04vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.18-5.85vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.72-5.61vs Predicted
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15SUNY Stony Brook-0.68-1.37vs Predicted
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16Princeton University-1.33-1.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9Boston University0.976.4%1st Place
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8.5University of Vermont0.874.2%1st Place
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4.3Brown University2.2218.1%1st Place
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6.54Northwestern University1.497.5%1st Place
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5.49Brown University1.8212.2%1st Place
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10.62Northeastern University0.122.4%1st Place
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6.16University of Rhode Island1.619.2%1st Place
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7.77Salve Regina University1.316.2%1st Place
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9.56Northwestern University0.453.5%1st Place
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7.01Palm Beach Atlantic University1.267.0%1st Place
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6.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.558.1%1st Place
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12.04SUNY Stony Brook-0.281.7%1st Place
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7.15Tufts University1.187.1%1st Place
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8.39Massachusetts Maritime Academy0.725.0%1st Place
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13.63SUNY Stony Brook-0.680.9%1st Place
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14.22Princeton University-1.330.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Christian Cushman | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 0.9% |
| Mason Stang | 18.1% | 14.6% | 15.4% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shea Smith | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Styron | 12.2% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Samuel Rooks | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 15.3% | 10.5% | 3.9% |
| Miles Williams | 9.2% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nils Tullberg | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Nikolas Chambers | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 6.0% | 2.2% |
| Thomas Green | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Elliott | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Strein | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 18.1% | 21.6% | 10.8% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Tyler Egeli | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 13.0% | 25.7% | 32.9% |
| Robert Rubin | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 9.0% | 21.6% | 47.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.