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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.92+7.37vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.60vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University1.83+9.28vs Predicted
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4Old Dominion University2.87+4.90vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.50+1.48vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+0.47vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.58+2.88vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.29-0.91vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.48-2.57vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.74-0.69vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-2.54vs Predicted
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12University of Miami1.63+0.74vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.71-3.75vs Predicted
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14Cornell University3.35-7.25vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-4.79vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College3.14-8.22vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.37Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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5.6U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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12.28Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.9Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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6.48Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.47St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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9.88Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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7.09University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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6.43Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.31Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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8.46Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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12.74University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
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9.25Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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6.75Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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7.78Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Haley Powell | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 2.3% |
| Mary Hall | 13.4% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.4% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 17.5% | 26.9% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 3.2% |
| Claire Dennis | 9.3% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Kayla McComb | 8.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.4% |
| Abby Featherstone | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 1.7% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 4.4% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% |
| Kara Voss | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 14.4% | 36.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 4.5% |
| Lauren Turner | 9.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 7.0% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.