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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University3.35+5.78vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.29+5.13vs Predicted
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3Boston University2.74+6.20vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College3.14+3.90vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+3.48vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.92+2.63vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.50-0.49vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-1.86vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.58+0.74vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy3.74-4.34vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.87-2.22vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.71-2.74vs Predicted
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13University of Miami1.63-0.14vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.83-1.80vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-4.80vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.48-9.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.78Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.13University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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9.2Boston University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.9Eckerd College3.140.0%1st Place
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8.48Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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8.63Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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6.51Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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9.74Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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5.66U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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8.78Old Dominion University2.870.1%1st Place
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9.26Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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12.86University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
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12.2Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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10.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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6.53Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lauren Turner | 7.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Abby Featherstone | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 3.6% |
| Melany Johnson | 4.9% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.4% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 2.5% |
| Haley Powell | 4.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 3.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 10.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Kayla McComb | 10.9% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.2% |
| Mary Hall | 11.9% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Corina Radtke | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.1% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% |
| Kara Voss | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 16.4% | 35.3% |
| Heidi Hood | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 16.0% | 26.7% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.0% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 8.4% |
| Natalie Salk | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.