← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College2.58+8.62vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Naval Academy3.74+3.56vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.92+5.52vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93+4.60vs Predicted
-
5Eckerd College3.14+2.73vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University3.35+1.01vs Predicted
-
7University of South Florida3.29+0.30vs Predicted
-
8Tufts University3.48-1.63vs Predicted
-
9Boston University2.74+0.12vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University2.71-0.62vs Predicted
-
11Yale University3.50-4.58vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-1.96vs Predicted
-
13Old Dominion University2.87-4.32vs Predicted
-
14St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-7.77vs Predicted
-
15University of Miami1.63-1.99vs Predicted
-
16Northeastern University1.83-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
9.62Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
-
5.56U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
-
8.52Roger Williams University2.920.1%1st Place
-
8.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.0%1st Place
-
7.73Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
-
7.01Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
-
7.3University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
-
6.37Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
-
9.12Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
-
9.38Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
-
6.42Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
-
10.04U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
-
8.68Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
-
6.23St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
-
13.01University of Miami1.630.0%1st Place
-
12.4Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% |
| Mary Hall | 12.3% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Haley Powell | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Lauren Turner | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% |
| Abby Featherstone | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Natalie Salk | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.1% |
| Claire Dennis | 10.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 8.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.6% |
| Kayla McComb | 10.6% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Kara Voss | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 17.6% | 36.0% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 12.3% | 16.7% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.