Race 9A

navy-fall-women

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Mary Hall 12.0% 13.3% 11.4% 10.0% 9.1% 8.7% 7.7% 6.6% 4.5% 6.3% 3.1% 2.8% 1.5% 1.9% 0.7% 0.4%
Kaylee Schwitzer 3.1% 5.2% 5.1% 4.1% 5.5% 4.8% 4.7% 6.8% 5.4% 5.9% 7.3% 7.2% 9.3% 9.2% 10.0% 6.4%
Melany Johnson 7.3% 6.8% 6.0% 6.9% 6.8% 6.5% 7.9% 7.0% 8.6% 7.5% 7.1% 6.5% 5.2% 4.7% 3.2% 2.0%
Arielle DeLisser 4.2% 6.1% 6.4% 5.4% 5.4% 6.9% 6.3% 6.7% 6.1% 7.1% 8.3% 6.6% 7.1% 8.0% 6.8% 2.6%
Natalie Salk 9.2% 8.9% 8.7% 8.7% 9.4% 9.1% 7.5% 7.0% 6.8% 6.5% 5.1% 5.2% 4.1% 2.3% 1.5% 0.0%
Corina Radtke 4.8% 4.0% 6.4% 5.5% 7.3% 5.2% 6.8% 5.8% 6.5% 8.1% 6.8% 6.2% 8.4% 7.5% 6.2% 4.5%
Kayla McComb 10.4% 9.0% 8.1% 8.4% 9.1% 9.1% 7.7% 6.1% 7.8% 5.5% 5.3% 4.8% 4.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.6%
Claire Dennis 10.4% 10.9% 8.4% 9.8% 7.5% 8.0% 8.8% 7.7% 7.2% 5.2% 4.9% 3.7% 3.6% 2.1% 1.6% 0.2%
Haley Powell 4.7% 6.7% 6.1% 6.3% 5.1% 6.9% 6.5% 7.9% 6.1% 7.0% 7.0% 8.1% 6.3% 7.0% 4.5% 3.8%
Elizabeth Glivinski 4.8% 4.2% 4.7% 4.8% 4.6% 5.4% 6.2% 5.1% 7.3% 7.9% 7.2% 9.3% 9.1% 8.2% 7.7% 3.5%
Abby Featherstone 9.7% 6.0% 8.4% 7.5% 7.5% 7.2% 7.9% 7.5% 7.2% 7.2% 5.6% 6.0% 4.7% 4.5% 2.1% 1.0%
Lauren Turner 8.5% 8.3% 9.0% 9.0% 7.9% 7.5% 6.1% 6.8% 6.8% 6.0% 7.0% 4.5% 5.2% 4.6% 1.5% 1.3%
Amanda Taselaar 3.7% 4.5% 4.8% 5.6% 5.7% 5.3% 6.2% 6.5% 6.3% 5.9% 8.2% 8.7% 7.2% 8.2% 7.3% 5.9%
Christine DeSilva 1.9% 1.5% 1.3% 2.3% 1.5% 2.2% 2.6% 3.3% 4.3% 3.6% 4.1% 5.9% 8.5% 9.5% 16.3% 31.2%
Heidi Hood 2.3% 1.3% 1.5% 2.0% 2.7% 2.1% 2.6% 3.8% 3.6% 3.7% 5.3% 5.3% 7.4% 9.2% 18.7% 28.5%
Lauren Cefali 3.0% 3.3% 3.7% 3.7% 4.9% 5.1% 4.5% 5.4% 5.5% 6.6% 7.7% 9.2% 8.2% 10.2% 10.9% 8.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.