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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+5.31vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51+4.32vs Predicted
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3Eckerd College3.14+4.72vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.74+1.74vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.29+2.23vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.92+2.66vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.48-0.45vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.71+1.20vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.74+0.12vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College2.58-0.07vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-2.50vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.83+0.26vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.87-4.33vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50-4.02vs Predicted
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15University of Miami1.70-2.19vs Predicted
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16Cornell University3.35-9.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.31Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.32St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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7.72Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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5.74U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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7.23University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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8.66Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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6.55Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.2Georgetown University2.710.0%1st Place
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9.12Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.93Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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12.26Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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8.67Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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12.81University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
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6.99Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 9.7% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Kayla McComb | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Melany Johnson | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.5% |
| Mary Hall | 11.3% | 12.9% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Abby Featherstone | 7.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Haley Powell | 4.6% | 4.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Natalie Salk | 10.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.5% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 6.3% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 16.2% | 28.5% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.2% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 2.4% |
| Lauren Cefali | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 7.5% |
| Christine DeSilva | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 16.8% | 34.0% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.