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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.50+5.30vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.48+4.45vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.71+6.29vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.29+3.34vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.58+4.83vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.92+2.59vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.74+2.29vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.50+1.97vs Predicted
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9Eckerd College3.14-1.37vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.93-1.45vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy3.74-5.41vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.51-5.60vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.87-4.29vs Predicted
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14University of Miami1.70-1.39vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.83-2.57vs Predicted
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16Cornell University3.35-8.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.3Yale University3.500.1%1st Place
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6.45Tufts University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.29Georgetown University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.34University of South Florida3.290.1%1st Place
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9.83Bowdoin College2.580.0%1st Place
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8.59Roger Williams University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.29Boston University2.740.0%1st Place
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9.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.500.0%1st Place
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7.63Eckerd College3.140.1%1st Place
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8.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.930.1%1st Place
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5.59U. S. Naval Academy3.740.1%1st Place
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6.4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.510.1%1st Place
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8.71Old Dominion University2.870.0%1st Place
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12.61University of Miami1.700.0%1st Place
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12.43Northeastern University1.830.0%1st Place
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7.01Cornell University3.350.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claire Dennis | 9.8% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Natalie Salk | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Amanda Taselaar | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 4.6% |
| Abby Featherstone | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.2% |
| Kaylee Schwitzer | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 7.6% |
| Haley Powell | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 3.7% |
| Elizabeth Glivinski | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 4.5% |
| Lauren Cefali | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 7.4% |
| Melany Johnson | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Arielle DeLisser | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 2.0% |
| Mary Hall | 13.3% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% |
| Kayla McComb | 10.4% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.8% |
| Corina Radtke | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| Christine DeSilva | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 16.3% | 31.5% |
| Heidi Hood | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 17.4% | 28.3% |
| Lauren Turner | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.