Race 1B

navy-fall-women

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Mary Kate Mezzetti 7.8% 7.2% 6.3% 9.1% 7.1% 7.0% 7.5% 6.0% 6.8% 6.7% 6.7% 6.7% 5.5% 5.8% 3.8%
Kayla Gibson 7.4% 9.3% 9.6% 7.9% 8.4% 8.3% 6.2% 8.0% 6.8% 6.2% 6.4% 5.8% 4.8% 2.9% 2.0%
Brooke Lyon 5.6% 5.0% 5.6% 6.0% 5.8% 6.6% 5.2% 6.7% 6.4% 8.2% 7.2% 10.0% 6.9% 8.4% 6.4%
Jennifer Borshoff 7.8% 7.2% 9.3% 7.2% 7.6% 8.0% 7.3% 6.3% 6.7% 6.9% 7.1% 5.5% 5.6% 4.8% 2.7%
Taylor Scheuermann 7.4% 7.8% 7.5% 6.6% 8.0% 6.5% 7.2% 5.8% 8.7% 8.2% 6.6% 6.3% 5.2% 4.8% 3.4%
Mayumi Roller 14.0% 13.3% 10.6% 10.9% 12.1% 9.0% 7.5% 7.2% 4.8% 3.5% 2.9% 2.4% 0.9% 0.7% 0.2%
Elise Gehling 5.7% 4.5% 4.3% 5.1% 4.1% 6.0% 6.3% 7.6% 6.8% 6.8% 8.2% 8.5% 8.1% 9.6% 8.4%
Emily Billing 11.5% 12.1% 11.5% 8.9% 8.7% 7.7% 8.0% 8.2% 6.9% 5.2% 4.1% 3.2% 1.9% 1.3% 0.8%
Rachel Austin 4.1% 3.7% 6.0% 4.4% 8.0% 6.2% 5.5% 6.8% 7.7% 8.0% 6.9% 8.9% 8.8% 7.2% 7.8%
Emma Ferris 3.5% 3.3% 2.8% 4.1% 4.3% 5.2% 5.3% 4.5% 6.7% 6.8% 7.3% 8.2% 10.9% 11.7% 15.4%
Sydney Jones 2.9% 3.1% 4.0% 3.9% 3.8% 4.0% 5.1% 4.7% 6.9% 5.8% 8.4% 5.8% 9.6% 11.1% 20.9%
Abby Preston 5.5% 4.6% 6.0% 7.0% 6.1% 6.5% 8.0% 7.2% 6.6% 8.2% 7.2% 7.2% 7.1% 8.1% 4.7%
Erica Lush 3.5% 4.3% 4.3% 3.8% 3.3% 5.5% 6.2% 4.9% 5.2% 7.0% 7.8% 8.6% 11.0% 11.3% 13.3%
Mariel Marchand 8.6% 8.9% 7.7% 10.0% 6.7% 7.6% 9.2% 8.3% 6.9% 6.2% 6.6% 3.8% 4.6% 3.4% 1.5%
Devon Rohde 4.7% 5.7% 4.5% 5.1% 6.0% 5.9% 5.5% 7.8% 6.1% 6.3% 6.6% 9.1% 9.1% 8.9% 8.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.