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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.85+6.15vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.98+4.61vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+2.02vs Predicted
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4Boston University2.21+5.49vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.83+2.40vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston2.93+0.96vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.29-1.38vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.34+1.07vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-0.41vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.63-1.92vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.40-2.13vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-2.81vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida1.99-3.51vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.74-7.43vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy2.09-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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6.61Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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5.02St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.49Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.4University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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6.96College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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5.62Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.07Northeastern University2.340.1%1st Place
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8.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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8.08Roger Williams University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.87Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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9.19U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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10.49University of South Florida1.990.0%1st Place
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7.57Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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9.88U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jennifer Borshoff | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% |
| Mariel Marchand | 7.9% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 0.8% |
| Mayumi Roller | 14.7% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Erica Lush | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.8% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% |
| Kayla Gibson | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.2% |
| Emily Billing | 13.1% | 11.0% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.0% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% |
| Abby Preston | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 4.2% |
| Rachel Austin | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% |
| Sydney Jones | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 20.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 4.0% |
| Emma Ferris | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 15.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.