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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.95+3.11vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island0.68+5.86vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.51+2.95vs Predicted
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4Tufts University0.78+3.01vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.35+0.69vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University0.73+1.76vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.18-0.11vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.56-2.40vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College0.03+0.59vs Predicted
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10Williams College-1.12+3.43vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.66-3.58vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+1.94vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.46-3.89vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.43-5.26vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-0.70-3.70vs Predicted
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16Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.13-2.60vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-1.96-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.11Dartmouth College1.9519.5%1st Place
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7.86University of Rhode Island0.684.8%1st Place
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5.95Tufts University1.5110.2%1st Place
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7.01Tufts University0.787.1%1st Place
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5.69Tufts University1.3511.2%1st Place
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7.76Fairfield University0.735.5%1st Place
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6.89Dartmouth College1.188.3%1st Place
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5.6Boston College1.5611.8%1st Place
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9.59Middlebury College0.032.5%1st Place
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13.43Williams College-1.120.7%1st Place
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7.42Tufts University0.665.9%1st Place
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13.94University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.770.8%1st Place
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9.11Northeastern University0.463.4%1st Place
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8.74Boston University0.434.6%1st Place
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11.3Salve Regina University-0.702.0%1st Place
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13.4Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.131.4%1st Place
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15.19University of Connecticut-1.960.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oliver Hurwitz | 19.5% | 16.1% | 14.2% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Johnson | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Connor Rosow | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Niall Sheridan | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wallace | 11.2% | 10.4% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nick Budington | 11.8% | 11.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Walter Chiles | 2.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 10.8% | 18.1% | 21.9% | 13.6% |
| Meredith Broadus | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Kate Myler | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 17.3% | 22.7% | 20.5% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| John Cabell | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Sean Crandall | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 8.1% | 2.7% |
| William Stottlemyer | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 14.0% | 16.7% | 19.0% | 14.4% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 18.5% | 47.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.