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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.18+5.89vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.51+3.87vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College1.95+1.12vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.35+1.57vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.73+2.70vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.66+1.37vs Predicted
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7Tufts University0.78+0.05vs Predicted
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8Williams College-1.12+5.39vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College0.03+0.65vs Predicted
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10Boston University0.43-1.15vs Predicted
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11Boston College1.56-5.43vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+1.96vs Predicted
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13Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.13+0.51vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.68-6.05vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University0.46-5.81vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University-0.70-4.80vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-1.96-1.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.89Dartmouth College1.188.0%1st Place
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5.87Tufts University1.5110.0%1st Place
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4.12Dartmouth College1.9519.4%1st Place
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5.57Tufts University1.3511.3%1st Place
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7.7Fairfield University0.735.9%1st Place
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7.37Tufts University0.666.8%1st Place
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7.05Tufts University0.786.6%1st Place
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13.39Williams College-1.121.0%1st Place
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9.65Middlebury College0.033.5%1st Place
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8.85Boston University0.434.0%1st Place
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5.57Boston College1.5610.5%1st Place
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13.96University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.770.7%1st Place
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13.51Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.130.8%1st Place
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7.95University of Rhode Island0.685.0%1st Place
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9.19Northeastern University0.463.7%1st Place
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11.2Salve Regina University-0.702.3%1st Place
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15.16University of Connecticut-1.960.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Hurley | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Connor Rosow | 10.0% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 19.4% | 17.2% | 13.0% | 13.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Wallace | 11.3% | 10.9% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Meredith Broadus | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 21.1% | 13.9% |
| Walter Chiles | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| John Cabell | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Nick Budington | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kate Myler | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 17.4% | 23.4% | 19.8% |
| William Stottlemyer | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 19.3% | 19.2% | 14.1% |
| Thomas Johnson | 5.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Aidan Boni | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Sean Crandall | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 2.7% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 19.0% | 47.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.