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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+4.59vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston2.93+4.77vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45+4.57vs Predicted
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5University of Miami2.83+2.24vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-0.82vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.98-0.23vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.74-0.42vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.40-0.14vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.21-0.51vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.99-0.63vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.34-2.92vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.85-5.55vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University2.63-5.67vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.09-5.13vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-7.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.59Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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6.77College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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8.57Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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7.24University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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5.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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6.77Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.58Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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8.86Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
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9.49Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.37University of South Florida1.990.0%1st Place
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9.08Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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7.45Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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8.33Roger Williams University2.630.1%1st Place
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9.87U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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8.87U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 11.7% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% |
| Kayla Gibson | 7.4% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.3% |
| Mayumi Roller | 14.0% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Mariel Marchand | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.0% |
| Rachel Austin | 5.6% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.0% |
| Erica Lush | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 11.2% |
| Sydney Jones | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 11.8% | 18.2% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 11.0% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.1% |
| Abby Preston | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% |
| Emma Ferris | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 15.1% |
| Devon Rohde | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.