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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.63+6.90vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48+2.93vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.83+3.21vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.74+2.58vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.98+0.87vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida1.99+3.34vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.85-0.81vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.29-3.29vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-1.16vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston2.93-3.99vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.21-2.45vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-4.08vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy2.09-3.83vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.34-6.03vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University2.40-7.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9Roger Williams University2.630.1%1st Place
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4.93St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.2%1st Place
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7.21University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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7.58Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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6.87Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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10.34University of South Florida1.990.0%1st Place
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7.19Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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5.71Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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8.84U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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7.01College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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9.55Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.0%1st Place
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10.17U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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8.97Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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8.81Old Dominion University2.400.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Preston | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% |
| Mayumi Roller | 15.1% | 14.8% | 11.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 3.0% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Mariel Marchand | 7.9% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 2.0% |
| Sydney Jones | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 18.2% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Emily Billing | 12.7% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 1.2% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% |
| Kayla Gibson | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.9% |
| Erica Lush | 3.1% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.8% | 13.1% |
| Brooke Lyon | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.6% |
| Emma Ferris | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 17.0% |
| Elise Gehling | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 7.5% |
| Rachel Austin | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 7.3% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.