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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.35+4.54vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.66+5.60vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.78+4.15vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.68+3.82vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College1.18+1.80vs Predicted
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6Fairfield University0.73+1.73vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.46+2.16vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.51-2.07vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.95-4.89vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University-0.70+1.35vs Predicted
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11Middlebury College0.03-1.22vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77+1.93vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut-1.96+2.07vs Predicted
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14Boston University0.43-5.27vs Predicted
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15Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.13-1.55vs Predicted
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16Boston College1.56-10.61vs Predicted
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17Williams College-1.12-3.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.54Tufts University1.3511.2%1st Place
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7.6Tufts University0.665.7%1st Place
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7.15Tufts University0.787.4%1st Place
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7.82University of Rhode Island0.685.4%1st Place
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6.8Dartmouth College1.187.8%1st Place
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7.73Fairfield University0.735.8%1st Place
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9.16Northeastern University0.464.1%1st Place
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5.93Tufts University1.519.4%1st Place
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4.11Dartmouth College1.9518.6%1st Place
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11.35Salve Regina University-0.701.8%1st Place
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9.78Middlebury College0.032.8%1st Place
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13.93University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.770.7%1st Place
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15.07University of Connecticut-1.960.4%1st Place
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8.73Boston University0.434.5%1st Place
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13.45Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.131.0%1st Place
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5.39Boston College1.5612.7%1st Place
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13.45Williams College-1.120.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wallace | 11.2% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Niall Sheridan | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Johnson | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 7.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Boni | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Connor Rosow | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 18.6% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 13.3% | 13.0% | 7.4% | 3.6% |
| Walter Chiles | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| Kate Myler | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 17.5% | 22.6% | 20.8% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 4.4% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 19.5% | 44.5% |
| John Cabell | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| William Stottlemyer | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 14.2% | 16.5% | 19.9% | 14.6% |
| Nick Budington | 12.7% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 12.2% | 17.5% | 21.1% | 14.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.