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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.51+5.02vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College1.18+4.79vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.66+4.45vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College1.95+0.07vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.73+2.78vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.46+3.19vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.35-1.46vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island0.68-0.15vs Predicted
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9Middlebury College0.03+0.49vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.78-2.85vs Predicted
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11Boston University0.43-2.12vs Predicted
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12Williams College-1.12+1.28vs Predicted
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13Boston College1.56-7.47vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University-0.70-2.79vs Predicted
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15University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.77-0.96vs Predicted
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16Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.13-2.41vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut-1.96-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.02Tufts University1.5110.4%1st Place
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6.79Dartmouth College1.187.5%1st Place
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7.45Tufts University0.666.7%1st Place
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4.07Dartmouth College1.9519.1%1st Place
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7.78Fairfield University0.735.2%1st Place
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9.19Northeastern University0.464.8%1st Place
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5.54Tufts University1.3511.2%1st Place
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7.85University of Rhode Island0.684.9%1st Place
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9.49Middlebury College0.033.3%1st Place
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7.15Tufts University0.786.5%1st Place
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8.88Boston University0.434.1%1st Place
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13.28Williams College-1.121.1%1st Place
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5.53Boston College1.5610.9%1st Place
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11.21Salve Regina University-0.702.2%1st Place
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14.04University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.770.8%1st Place
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13.59Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.130.9%1st Place
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15.15University of Connecticut-1.960.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Rosow | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Hurley | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Meredith Broadus | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Hurwitz | 19.1% | 18.0% | 14.2% | 12.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Aidan Boni | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Wallace | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Johnson | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Walter Chiles | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Niall Sheridan | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Cabell | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Rem Johannknecht | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 11.9% | 18.3% | 21.0% | 13.1% |
| Nick Budington | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Crandall | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 13.7% | 12.5% | 7.3% | 2.9% |
| Kate Myler | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 16.4% | 23.4% | 21.1% |
| William Stottlemyer | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 11.7% | 18.1% | 21.9% | 14.5% |
| Jack Sullivan | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 10.2% | 18.1% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.