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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northwestern University1.49+3.50vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College0.83+4.15vs Predicted
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3Tufts University0.93+2.56vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.30+3.63vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.42+1.64vs Predicted
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6Tufts University0.96-0.49vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College0.18+1.05vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.74-4.33vs Predicted
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9Williams College-1.24+3.29vs Predicted
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10Boston University-0.64+0.70vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University0.12-2.80vs Predicted
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12Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.33+0.65vs Predicted
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13Tufts University0.38-5.38vs Predicted
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14Middlebury College-1.69-0.50vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University-1.01-3.65vs Predicted
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16University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.52-2.92vs Predicted
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17University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.07-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.5Northwestern University1.4915.8%1st Place
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6.15Dartmouth College0.838.2%1st Place
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5.56Tufts University0.9311.2%1st Place
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7.63University of Rhode Island0.305.1%1st Place
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6.64Fairfield University0.427.3%1st Place
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5.51Tufts University0.968.8%1st Place
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8.05Dartmouth College0.184.9%1st Place
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3.67Boston College1.7421.9%1st Place
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12.29Williams College-1.241.1%1st Place
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10.7Boston University-0.641.9%1st Place
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8.2Northeastern University0.124.5%1st Place
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12.65Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.330.8%1st Place
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7.62Tufts University0.385.1%1st Place
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13.5Middlebury College-1.690.7%1st Place
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11.35Salve Regina University-1.011.6%1st Place
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13.08University of Massachusetts at Amherst-1.520.9%1st Place
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15.86University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-3.070.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shea Smith | 15.8% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Long | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Willem Weinberg | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nolan Cooper | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marina Garrido | 8.8% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hanrahan | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Matt Budington | 21.9% | 18.4% | 14.8% | 12.3% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Von Lehe | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 12.9% | 4.8% |
| Josh Sultanik | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 4.7% | 1.0% |
| Samuel Rooks | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Fletcher | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 17.8% | 14.8% | 5.9% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dalyan Yet | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 20.9% | 13.0% |
| Garrett Moen | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 2.0% |
| Patrick Whyte | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 15.6% | 21.8% | 8.2% |
| Alan Andonian | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 14.5% | 65.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.