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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.29+4.68vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.21+7.43vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.74+4.62vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.85+3.25vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston2.93+2.10vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.98+0.82vs Predicted
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7University of Miami2.83+0.32vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.31+1.22vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.38-0.02vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-5.82vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.34-2.83vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy2.09-2.71vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.40-4.75vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.63-6.99vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.45-7.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.68Yale University3.290.1%1st Place
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9.43Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.62Georgetown University2.740.1%1st Place
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7.25Cornell University2.850.1%1st Place
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7.1College of Charleston2.930.1%1st Place
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6.82Tufts University2.980.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Miami2.830.1%1st Place
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9.22University of South Florida2.310.0%1st Place
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8.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.380.0%1st Place
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5.18St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.1%1st Place
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9.17Northeastern University2.340.0%1st Place
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10.29U. S. Naval Academy2.090.0%1st Place
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9.25Old Dominion University2.400.0%1st Place
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8.01Roger Williams University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.69Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.450.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Billing | 12.1% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Erica Lush | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 12.3% |
| Mary Kate Mezzetti | 7.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.8% |
| Jennifer Borshoff | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% |
| Kayla Gibson | 7.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 3.0% |
| Mariel Marchand | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.8% |
| Taylor Scheuermann | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% |
| Ali Yarbrough | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 10.5% |
| Devon Rohde | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% |
| Mayumi Roller | 13.5% | 12.2% | 13.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Elise Gehling | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 12.1% |
| Emma Ferris | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 14.3% | 16.7% |
| Rachel Austin | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% |
| Abby Preston | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% |
| Brooke Lyon | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.